PokerStars $0.44+$0.06 - NLHE Tournament (STT, 9-man) - 100/200 Blinds - 6 players
MP+1: 1900 (10 bb)
HJ: 2595 (13 bb)
CO: 3000 (15 bb)
BTN: 4205 (21 bb)
SB: 890 (4 bb), (35) VP:19 PFR:5 AF:1.0 3B:0 AS:0 FS:100 CB:0 FC:100 WS:20 W$:100
Hero (BB): 910 (5 bb)
Preflop: (300) Hero is BB with Q
J
4 folds, SB raises to 890 all in, Hero ???
I came through a strange decision by me and investigated into an ICM calculator.
In the particular case i folded my QJo instictively, thinking my good-looking hand is still too weak to call and certainly a push with, say, Q8o would do better as i have fold equity in the case.
I then checked an ICM calculator to find if my fold was correct. My reasoning goes like that:
- My opponent had 4bb eff. stack, therefore he pushes with a lot of garbage
- My opponent position is SB, therefore he pushes with more crap than usual
- Better to push rather than call with such hands
I decided he will push with around 35-40% of hands, as i do not know much of him.
I found than my hand QJo is still behind that range (45% vs 55%), which range looks like 22+,A2s+,K4s+,Q6s+,J8s+,T8s+,96s+,86s+,75s+,65s,A2o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo in Equilab. ICM equity comes negative here and therefore the fold is correct! Is there something i am missing here?
But how can i fold such a hand with those stacks?