ICM throws up some strange results which it's hard for me to understand.
Situn 1 (3 handed) Blinds 50/100 : Hero is BU with 540, holding 10,3s; SB 9,560; BB has 9750. Push/fold?
Situn 2 (3 handed) Blinds 200/400 : Hero is BU with 1830, holding J,6o; SB 8,820; BB has 8750. Push/fold?
ICM says it's a fold in both cases but gives hero's range as 46.9% in the first case and 32.1% in second case.
My question is this: Hero is significantly short stacked in both cases. In scenario 1 he has 5.4 BB left; in scenario 2 he has 4.5 BB. So why would his range be tighter in the second case? Surely you would expect him to be pushing wider? Also, isn't a call by an opponent more likely in scenario 1, in which case you'd expect hero to be pushing tighter?
Or is it because, although Hero has less chips in scenario 2 when measured in BB, he has more chips (relatively) in comparison to his opponents? i.e. about 1:4.7 in second case but only 1:19 in the first case? If it is this, can someone explain - in layman's terms - why it makes a difference to the push range?
The only other difference I can see is the in situ 1, BB has the biggest stack whereas in situ 2, its SB. But it's pretty marginal and I can't see how it would make much difference to hero's range.
Help appreciated!
Tim
