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J9s good hand to turn in to a bluff on river?

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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 126.56 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
Hero (SB): 152.4 BB
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 8.89, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 47)
UTG: 238.76 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
MP: 155.72 BB (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 21.43, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 30)
CO: 189.6 BB (VPIP: 75.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 4)

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J♥ 9♥

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 7 BB, fold, BTN calls 5 BB

Flop: (15 BB, 2 players) 5♥ 4♣ 9♠
Hero bets 10.76 BB, BTN calls 10.76 BB

Turn: (36.52 BB, 2 players) 3♣
Hero bets 21 BB, BTN calls 21 BB

River: (78.52 BB, 2 players) 2♦
Hero bets 39 BB,

Spoiler

fold

Hero wins 75 BB


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5 replies
MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

2/3 flop seems big.
I think I like to check/call that turn sometimes to let him eventually bluff.
RIver I don't really like transforming into a bluff. Not that he's supposed to have lots of aces indeed but what are we targetting ? TT-JJ ? Does he have sets as played and will he fold them ?


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

this hand is way too strong to be bluffing with. when the river goes check/check we win a fairly good amount of the time...


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

Flop is ok. Lot of cards that can come to kill your hand, so OOP 2/3 I think it's not that bad.
Turn is good to continue indeed. If he calls I'm slowing down OTR. If he raises... fold I think.
The river completes the ace straight, but I don't think it's plausible for you. Would you really throw 3 shots with ace high OOP? I don't think so.
The only hand that makes sense with your line of betting is AA.
But on the other hand, if you check and he bets you have a fold. He could be floating with some weak ace, like A2-A5. Or a set and you were beaten from the very beginning.
Overall, checking and hoping to see a free showdown, which is probable imo, is the best play. And you're ahead the majority of the time imo.


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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

Does it make sense to let him fold the hands like TT or QQ?
Or even to say like its a thin value bet to get a call from mid pairs?
So its like a merge bet to let him fold better hands and calling with worse? Does it make any sense?


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Laci24
Joined: 07.10.2009

I prefer the river check. J9 is too strong to bluff imo.


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