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AA vs river shove
 
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AA vs river shove

 
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Last Post by Sunrise1912 8 years ago
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hanusmarek
hanusmarek
Joined: 10.05.2012
Posts: 22
13.10.2018, 10:25

Hello, Villain is 21/15 after 450 hands. Should I call his river shove? Can he have anything else that beats me except maybe JJ and KJ?

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5 (100 bb)
BB: $6.52 (130.4 bb)
MP: $6.92 (138.4 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.12 (102.4 bb)
BTN: $8.67 (173.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♣: A♠:
MP raises to $0.15, Hero raises to $0.46, 3 folds, MP calls $0.31

Flop: ($0.99) K♥: 2♠: 5♦: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.62, MP calls $0.62

Turn: ($2.23) J♣: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1.14, MP calls $1.14

River: ($4.51) J♥: (2 players)
MP bets $4.70 and is all-in, Hero ???


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5 replies
zetozinho
zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017
Posts: 1,470
13.10.2018, 12:48

He seems to be decent, so I expect a wider range. JJ is unlikely.
A small PP that picked up a set is the most probable hand imo.
I think it is a fold OTR.


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headshot2009
headshot2009
Joined: 01.08.2009
Posts: 102
13.10.2018, 14:53

I think most often we will see a nuts here like KK if he dont 4bet them before the flop. KJs is also possible. AK sometimes can be here as well. If I would have a note of any stupid bluffs about the villain, I would call the river, cause you need to be right only 1 time of 3, otherways it is a fold.


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la55i
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013
Posts: 8,896
13.10.2018, 15:37 +1

Villain is a reg looking guy. Those guys are less likely to do river bluffs or overvalue their holdings like AK. Call call donk like is often very strong. I think folding OTR is fine.


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MyFloXyBabY
MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010
Posts: 2,090
13.10.2018, 16:33

Damn that spot xD
I also think it's hard to find hands we beat as played, except AK. Call call donk is so the value line, moreover in 3 pots when there are no draws etc..


Chinese proverb : Give a HUD to a man, he'll exploit one day, but teach him to use a tracker... and he'll complain about his AIEV all his life :D
"Si debis pedere, pedis superbe. (If you must fart, fart proudly)" VorpalF2F

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Sunrise1912
Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009
Posts: 377
15.10.2018, 13:32

Fold it. Standard NL5 reg would not shove a weaker hand. He represent thin but he most probably has it.


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