Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
SB: $16.52 (66.1 bb)
BB: $41.56 (166.2 bb)
UTG: $32.15 (128.6 bb)
MP: $40.89 (163.6 bb)
CO: $13.36 (53.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): $33.92 (135.7 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q♦: A♦:
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB calls $0.25
Flop: ($1.50) T♥: 8♦: 5♦: (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.07, SB calls $1.07, BB folds
Turn: ($3.64) 6♠: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
River: ($3.64) 7♠: (2 players)
SB bets $1.74, Hero folds
I think I could bet bigger OTF like $1.25 to build a bigger pot when I hit.
As played, realizing equity OTT is not the worst plan, but I wonder if it's better to 2nd bar.
By my assumptions I have at best ~30% equity and won't have enough FEQ on the turn.
We also need 50% equity to value bet. So, bet OTT doesn't accomplish much.
Assuming that Villain x/r 2pair+ OTF. I left all FD (so my equity could be worse by ~2% as played, so 29%).
Board: T♥8♦5♦ 6♠
Equity Win Tie
MP2 31.36% 31.36% 0.00% { AdQd }
BB 68.64% 68.64% 0.00% { 99, 77-66, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, QdJd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Jd9d, Ad8d, Kd8d, Qd8d, Jd8d, Td8d, Ad7d, Kd7d, Qd7d, Jd7d, Td7d, Ad6d, Kd6d, 9d6d, Ad5d, Kd5d, 8d5d, 7d5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo }
Conclusion: Since 6♠: hits Villain's range pretty good, I don't have FEQ and should realize my equity by checking back OTT.
