(FR) TPGK OOP vs river bet

It's nasty you split against any Ax hands he could call the turn with and he seems like a fish. I doubt he would change his hand often in a bluff and is check/folding fine I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987

I would also mostly c/f.
Opps VPIP means he can has a wider range..
Don't know from the stats how light he calls on the flop or what his AF value is.
Even the players who likes to call the flop fear an A. So I would give him an A, 8, FD or pair between 99-JJ.
Calling on turn = FD, A or 8.
Betting the river = mostly an 8, sometimes an A and sometimes a FD, unlikely AK/AA/KK (which does not want you to fold pre and/or postflop). 40%, 15%, 30%, 15% (AK, AA, KK) - 55% vs 15% vs 30%
If the % are correct we have to call, just assumptions we've to call, but I would still mostly fold perhaps cause I think we're no 30% winner..?
I also struggle, cause I've no gameplan for such a situation vs that player type / board.
Just some thoughts...

Any special reason to open 3.4x?
Cbet smaller, 1/3 is enough. The drawy ace is on the board.

I like to check call turn to exploit their floating range, but that is
often fancy against the average player, because they dont float and bluff enough.
Bet turn bigger if you want to bet here.
By betting small OTT you allow him to call wider, so river I would check call 1/2. You have a good bluff catcher, he should not have AK often.

Originally posted by zetozinho
Any special reason to open 3.4x?

The loose player OTB. Trying to charge worst AX.