Nl100Sh, Aq

16.04.2009, 16:20 0

fish, err, i mean, villain is 44/25/41/4.3(3bet)/1.7(af):

i decided to call for pot odds, plus i can be ahead of draws. So i call. Then the river is close imo. Herocall or zerocall?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($268.35)
Hero (CO) ($167.30)
Button ($137)
SB ($129)
BB ($101.50)
UTG ($197.15)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, Q
UTG bets $4, MP calls $4, Hero raises to $16, 4 folds, MP calls $12

Flop: ($37.50) 10, 10, 8 (2 players)
MP bets $15, Hero calls $15

Turn: ($67.50) A (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

River: ($67.50) J (2 players)
MP bets $35, Hero calls $35

Total pot: $137.50 | Rake: $3

4 replies

chenny8888

Joined: 03.10.2007

Posts: 17,729

16.04.2009, 16:36 0

sick river but i like the call. V could be valuebetting 88+ here as well as some worse aces.

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veriz

Joined: 20.07.2008

Posts: 64,009

16.04.2009, 17:13 0

Hello,

Nice hand, well played.

Best regards,
Rensu

TribunCaesar

Joined: 29.04.2007

Posts: 5,548

16.04.2009, 18:38 0

looks good to me.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar

xylere

Joined: 28.05.2007

Posts: 2,084

16.04.2009, 21:39 0

V could be valuebetting 88+ here as well as some worse aces.

88? i somehow don't see it at all... This guy can bluff river w/o a doubt, but turning 8x into a bluff is probably too much for his talent. There is no logic in bluffing 8x here, I think even 45/25 guy might understand it... board structure kinda screams...
Besides, there are not that many 8x hands in his range that we beat.

There are 64 combination of Ax hands that we beat. We have to cut around 2/3rd of them given the action. Some he will fold preflop, some he won't donk on the flop, some he will bet on the turn (AXd) and some he won't valuebet on the river. However, given the pot odds there will be still probably enough left to compensate for slowplayed flushes, Tx and 2p hands that beat us.
The other problem is that he doesn't have that many hands to turn into a bluff on the river. So overall I would call w/o any additional reads, but I wouldn't be too happy...

Its good to know as much as possible about his betting patterns... by default river bet looks like a valuebet to me.

[Closed] Nl100Sh, Aq