Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $46.23 (184.9 bb)
Hero (BB): $28.96 (115.8 bb)
UTG: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
MP: $31.20 (124.8 bb)
CO: $25 (100 bb)
BTN: $11.43 (45.7 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A♠: Q♠:
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, 3 folds, Hero raises to $3, MP calls $2.25
Flop: ($6.10) Q♣: 8♥: 8♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $3.45, MP calls $3.45
Turn: ($13) 4♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $6.50, MP calls $6.50
River: ($26) 4♥: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $18.25 and is all-in, Hero calls $16.01 and is all-in
Results: $58.02 pot ($2.85 rake)
Final Board: Q♣: 8♥: 8♣: 4♠: 4♥:
Hero showed A♠: Q♠: and lost (-$28.96 net)
MP showed K♦: K♠: and won $55.17 ($26.21 net)
Villain is 43/30 after 24 hands. So pretty much unknown. But he is a full stack, I havent seen him limp so he is most likely at least somewhat solid.
Not sure how to play this hand. He called the 3B MP so his range will be quite tight. I don't expect him to have any 8x (perhaps only 88). I would give him this range: ATs+ KQs, AQo+, 99-QQ, and 2-3 combos of KK and AA each.
I think it is standard to bet flop and turn to get value from 99-JJ and FD's. I dont think I have valuebet OTR, only worse that could call me is KQs and that is only 2 combos.
I need 28% to make a call.
Optimistic scenario OTR
Pesimistic scenario OTR
That's all assuming he is bluffing busted FD's which I am not sure people in low limit games are. Any advice on that?
Also he can have A8s and A4s (clubs) in his calling range which would make it even worse.
Check folding top pair on the river in 3BP after investing half of the stack seemed crazy to me though.
How would you play the hand guys?
