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PLO4 JJ92s set on monotone board

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007
BlackMember

Open raised, SB call and on flop villain pot. I have 6 outs so 14% equity on turn is not enough but we have lot behind and any pairing card is close to nuts. Villain should have mainly flushes here so any Kx two pair should be rare. So pot should be get into 2.3€ to make flop call ok. Well I suppose its questionable to be honest.

On turn I have 9 outs and villain size it smaller so more clear call with having still lot behind.

River was Ks and villain minbet. What sort of sizing would you raise?


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efkay
Joined: 25.03.2005
Elite Grinder

if you plan to get paid off from a flush on a paired board on flop and turn you should probably pot river


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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010
Oldschool Grinder

you have 7 outs (+1x :Jx: ). the flop call is player-dependant, if he is straightforward you should fold as you have no implieds. a pot-sized bet also signals primarily strong flushes (especially nutflush), if he is bluffing, we are more likely to make money as our hand works as a bluffcatcher, so it is useful to know how often he is bluffing. You also risk an under-dog scenario against :Kx: :Kx:xx overfulls so be carefully. But to me this tables and the pre-call from sb do not look solid so calling may be good.

A minbet usually signals weakness so your hand is prbably good here. It is important to get value here to win back the money we invested against the odds on flop and turn. We need to win 3x 0,30$ = 0,90$ from the flop plus 1,4x 0,72$ = 1$ from the turn, together 1,90$. On the river you have to win another big bet close to pot or pot. Basically this:

Originally posted by efkay
if you plan to get paid off from a flush on a paired board on flop and turn you should probably pot river

+1


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