PokerStars - $0.02 Ante $0.01 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 183 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 153.5 BB
UTG: 99.5 BB
MP: 145 BB
Hero (CO): 117 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, 6 players post ante of 0.5 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 4.5 BB) Hero has K♠ K♦
fold, MP calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, SB calls 3.5 BB, BB calls 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB
Flop: (19 BB, 4 players) J♣ 6♥ 9♠
SB checks, BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets 14 BB, fold, BB calls 14 BB, MP calls 14 BB
Turn: (61 BB, 3 players) 5♠
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets 44.5 BB, BB raises to 135 BB and is all-in, fold, fold
BB wins 145 BB
Feel free to skip down and to the conclusion, if you don't want to read it all, I would appreciate comments on what you think as well! 
Betting flop big is standard i think. A lot of draws (OESD+GTSD) and worse made hands (Jx, 9x).
Q1:/b] Do we want to bet OTT? (
My answer: I think so, but I'm not too sure. If we gave the unknown player in the BB a calling range OTT of TPTK+ and OESD (66,AJs,KJs,QTs+,87s,AJo) we have 64% against him. Our equity mostly comes from all the AJo combos in this situation from this guy so it's highly dependent that he'll call it. And sure sometimes he'll have KJ & QJ to our favor.
Vs the limper I definetly think we have a value bet here. There's a big chance that he has a very wide range and likely to call with any TP which makes it very +EV to bet.
This is the range I think he'll always continue with OTT: 66,AJs,KJs,QTs+,JTs,87s,AJo,KJo,QTo+,JTo,87o.
And we have 66%.
Vs both ranges, we have 38% equity vs 31% & 30%. IF BB folds AJo we do not have a value bet though! Even with the limper in the pot.
Q2: Once we know that AJo is a necessary call from the BB to make a bet +EV, should we adjust our sizing to get called by it?
My answer: Yes we should, if he's a reg I think there's a big chance that he'll let this hand go at this point vs a big bet. If we make the bet OTT 1/3-1/2 there's a higher chance that he'll call. We also lose less when opponent has us beat.
I would like a 1/3 bet here to get calls from Jx, get paid by draws, and also not lose too much when we're beat.
Conclusion from the hand: Bet big OTF to get value from Jx and draws. OTT our hand strength decreases and our value mostly comes from QT and Jx, and we might be beat vs a straight aswell!
Thus we bet 1/3 and to get value from the mentions above and not to lose too much when we're behind.
We bet/fold because if anyone raises we're very likely beat.
