Just a random example HU against villain , I check to him on turn and he bets $3.50 into an already $ 7.00 pot making it $10.50. I’m getting 3:1 on a call. So my hand needs to be ahead right now 1/4 of the time to make this call and see a river? I feel like that’s where I need to start thinking about his bluff and value ranges and bluff to value ratios, to make it a bit easier for a call and a sense of where I’m at here? Can anybody chime in and help me with this confusion plz
Notifications
Clear all
Hand discussions for No Limit
4
Posts
4
Users
0
Reactions
286
Views
3 replies
Offering you 3:1 odds villain's optimal bluff-to-value ratio is 1 bluff per every 3 value hands.
You can only say you need 25% equity (which is equivalent to 3:1 odds) to profitably call if his bet was OTR. This means 25% raw equity.
It's relatively easy to calculate the optimal bluff-to-value ratio on the river because your bluffs should have 0% equity when called, but this is not the case on the flop and turn because there'll be further action.
Some guidelines:
2 bluffs to 1 value hand OTF
1 bluff to 1 value hand OTT
1 bluff to 2 value hands OTR
I remember this from some of Matthew Janda's books, where he has a very detailed explanation of how he reached this numbers. What is important is that you should bluff more often in early streets.
Calculating this ratios while playing will drive you mad. Just having a rough idea about whether a betsize makes sense or not according to has happened.
I usually think how many "value" hands I have and compare to the number of "bluffs" I can also have in a situation.
If you have tons of strong hands and few bluffs it makes sense to use a small betsize and vice-versa.
Without any card info and what the flop and turn cards are this is tough to answer what you should do. Also villain info is interesting to know, but zetozinho post seems decent already. I'm not so good in abstract examples. I doubt it was NL2 ether.
Cheers,
SDK1987
1/2 pot bet $1 into $2 pot 3:1 1/4 or 25%
2/3 pot bet $2 into $3 pot 5:2 2/7 or 29%
3/4 pot bet $3 into $4 pot 7:3 3/10 or 30%
pot sized bet $4 into $4 pot 8:4 or 2:1 4/12 or 1/3 33%
2x pot bet $8 into $4 pot 12:8 or 3:2 8/20 or 2/5 40%