ATs squeeze gone wrong

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by burek2000 6 years ago

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Dragar

Joined: 09.09.2008

Posts: 2,590

25.05.2020, 18:16 0

Converted by the cows of Feral Cow Poker
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em $0.02/$0.05 - 6 players

Button: $7.59
SB: $1.51
BB: $5.12 (Hero)
UTG: $6.05
UTG+1: $5.26
CO: $5.22

Preflop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with Ave of diamonds (6 players)
2 folds, CO raises to $0.15, Button folds, SB calls $0.13, Hero raises to $0.65, CO folds, SB raises to $1.51 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.86, SB shows, Hero shows

Just want to check that we can't fold this pre-flop for the shorty shove or?
I know we are likely behind or flipping but wanted to check if math is sort of ok?

Also I think pre-flop its 0.7-0.75 perhaps.

I play on GGpoker even though it says Pokerstars. None of my hand histories will have villain stats.

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1 reply

burek2000

Joined: 16.11.2007

Posts: 3,140

26.05.2020, 11:17 0

Nice hand.

Your 3b size is fine, could be bigger, but 0.65 is ok too.

SB is a shallow stacked fish and could have all sorts of hands there, especially after just cold calling. And you only need 27% equity against his range.

"Equity needed"="Amount to call"/"Final pot"=0.86/3.17=0.2713=27%
"Amount to call"=0.86
"Final pot"=0.15(CO's raise)+1.51(SB's shove)+1.51(your own contribution if you call)=3.17

Equity Win Tie
MP2 29.83% 28.87% 0.96% AdTd
MP3 70.17% 69.21% 0.96% JJ+, AKs, AKo

And you can see you have that even against nutted range.

I didn't include rake in the calculation for simplicity reasons, but even with rake included that's an easy call.

Cheers

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