Full house vs shove

ferdhy5

Joined: 21.04.2014

Posts: 86

25.05.2020, 19:57 0

Pacific Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 209.8 BB ( VPIP: 29; PR: 23; AF: 2)
Hero (SB): 109.6 BB
BB: 26.4 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 7♣ 7♥

BTN raises to 2 BB, Hero calls 1.6 BB, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (6 BB, 3 players) J♠ 6♦ J♣
Hero checks, BB checks, BTN checks

Turn: (6 BB, 3 players) 7♠
Hero bets 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB

River: (12 BB, 2 players) T♠
Hero bets 8.8 BB, BTN raises to 80.8 BB, Hero raises to 104.6 BB and is all-in, Hero?

Hi guys,

Would you consider folding on this spot? On a paired board, I find it unlikely that this villain can shove the river with a flush and there are a few better full houses that he can have. What do you think?

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3 replies

burek2000

Joined: 16.11.2007

Posts: 3,140

25.05.2020, 21:12 0

Hey,

I see you posted opponent's stats, but I don't see how many hands you have on him. It's important to know if the stats hold any merit.

I could see myself folding against a decent regular, but if you don't know the opponent, then this is an easy call against an uknown on NL5. There are still worse boats than yours(66) and people will overplay their hands on micros. I've seen fish slowplay AJ only to shove river without realizing how much the board has changed etc.

In short, I would only fold river if I had a strong read to convince me to do so.

Btw, bet bigger on the turn.

Cheers

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Dragar

Joined: 09.09.2008

Posts: 2,590

26.05.2020, 03:40 0

Never folding on this limit. You would to know villain super well to do a fold, I don't think this is possible.

I play on GGpoker even though it says Pokerstars. None of my hand histories will have villain stats.

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Sunrise1912

Joined: 24.11.2009

Posts: 377

26.05.2020, 12:40 0

The way he raises - its a full house and very rarely a flush/straight. Slowplayed 66, hit TT on the river or retardedly played JT. In game i would snap but thinking about it now it may be close.

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