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$3 - 9man - AJs

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sunnybunny888
Joined: 12.05.2020

Pacific, $2.70 Buy-in (150/300 blinds, 30 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 3,165 (10.6 bb)
BB: 2,098 (7 bb)
MP: 2,887 (9.6 bb)
Hero (CO): 3,405 (11.4 bb)
BTN: 1,945 (6.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J♣: A♣:
MP raises to 2,857 and is all-in, Hero raises to 3,375 and is all-in, 3 folds

Flop: (6,314) 7♦: 3♦: Q♣: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: (6,314) 6♠: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: (6,314) 9♥: (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

6,314 pot
Final Board: 7♦: 3♦: Q♣: 6♠: 9♥:
MP showed T♥: A♠: and lost (-2,887 net)
Hero showed J♣: A♣: and won 6,314 (3,427 net)

Opponent is 21/13 for 299 hands.

Running this with FGS1 in Icmizer it's a fold if he's pushing 30%. This is including K5s ; T8s ; J8s ; 89s at the very bottom of this range. I don't see him pushing that wide so this makes the fold even more profitable.

Seemed like a marginal call to me, guess I was wrong.

What would you guys do here?

If I run this with FGS4 this is giving me a very profitable shove with the opponent pushing 27% - still not quite understanding FGS concept.


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3 replies
ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

FGS assumes everyone play nash ranges in future hands. Usually when we are hit by blinds it will widen our range somewhat. Could also tighten especially in bubble if some short stack is forced all-in in future hands.

Most of time I use only FGS1 and bigger only if there is some small stack on bubble or we are getting hit by blinds with shallow stack in next few hands. Point is also that on most tables people won't be playing with nash ranges so there will be lot of inaccuracies easily.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

On a $3 SNG I don't think players understands ICM to well most of the time. Stacks are pretty close to each other, but I use the normal Nash Ranges now and even than I wouldn't be surprised a random villain will shover tighter than he/she should.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

are fgs future hands oder future orbits?


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