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3bet pot IP with a royal flush draw

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Gianzzurri99
Joined: 13.02.2019

Hand from Ignition 10NL 6max,
Thoughts on whether the flop should be a call or a shove?
I liked a call because I though we would keep some of the draws in that Ahigh beats + we are IP + we are fairly deep stacked.

On the turn I call for the same reason, if opponent ever jams with KQ, 98s, Q9s, or even some flush draws like 8d7d, 9d,7d, 7d,6d we are beating them with A high. Even if the villain shows up with trip Tens here, we have decent equity.

How would you all have played this hand?

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.10(BB)
SB ($10.07) [VPIP: 20.3% | PFR: 18.7% | AGG: 37.5% | Hands: 129]
BB ($3.29) [VPIP: 53.6% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 19% | Hands: 56]
UTG ($13.38) [VPIP: 29.7% | PFR: 13.5% | AGG: 42.9% | Hands: 37]
HJ ($5.89) [VPIP: 50% | PFR: 28.6% | AGG: 51.9% | Hands: 29]
CO ($31.76) [VPIP: 30.6% | PFR: 22.2% | AGG: 33.3% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 50% | River Agg: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 36]
HERO ($16.27) [VPIP: 25.6% | PFR: 16.5% | AGG: 29.4% | Flop Agg: 31% | Turn Agg: 31% | River Agg: 23.3% | 3-Bet: 9% | Fold to 3-Bet: 50.6% | 4-Bet: 12.6% | Hands: 41382]

Dealt to Hero: A♦ K♦

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Raises To $0.30, HERO Raises To $0.90, SB Folds, BB Folds, CO Calls $0.60

Hero SPR on Flop: [7.88 effective]
Flop ($1.95): T♣ J♦ T♦
CO Checks, HERO Bets $1.30 (Rem. Stack: $14.07), CO Raises To $3.53 (Rem. Stack: $27.33), HERO Calls $2.23 (Rem. Stack: $11.84)

Turn ($9.01): T♣ J♦ T♦ 6♥
CO Bets $12.42 (Rem. Stack: $14.91), HERO Calls $11.84 (allin)

River ($33.27): T♣ J♦ T♦ 6♥ 8♠

Spoiler

CO shows: 9♠ Q♠

CO wins: $31.06


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3 replies
kerity
Joined: 08.04.2008

flop: Standard

Turn: good read :f_drink: he would probably bet smaller with JJ, Jx or Tx.


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kfcsekirata
Joined: 01.11.2013

I would fold on the turn


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seanspurs87
Joined: 05.09.2012

On the flop, I like the bet sizing as we are a bit deep and it puts pressure on any low pairs/draws. Calling seems fine as we get a good price. I would maybe shove as probably because once we call, it's gonna be hard to fold any turn to a shove unless it's a J or T. So may aswell get the money in on the flop and maybe fold out any Jx or draws villain raised, and as you said we still have good equity against Tx and any draws villain may decide to call with. If they start calling w/ Jx and straight draws we are doing well against this as well. I don't know, I guess it's higher variance if we shove, but doesn't seem like a mistake if we did, I think I'm just trying to avoid the difficult decision on the turn.

As played on the turn, I'm not sure I would call unless I have a read on the opponent that they may shove draws. Even if they shove straight draws (they don't have many flush draws here as we and the board block many of them), we are getting about 36% odds. I plugged this range QQ-TT,AJs-ATs,KQs,KTs,QTs-Q9s,JTs,T9s,9d8d into equilab and against AdKd we get 37%. So it seems pretty close on the turn and probably a fold.


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