Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Flopped set OOP facing a bad runout

2 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
256 Views
Gianzzurri99
Joined: 13.02.2019

Hand from Ignition 10NL, 6max

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.10(BB)
HJ ($10.36) [VPIP: 36.8% | PFR: 16.2% | AGG: 42.9% | Hands: 118]
CO ($9.55) [VPIP: 30.9% | PFR: 14.7% | AGG: 27.3% | Hands: 68]
BTN ($18.91) [VPIP: 25.4% | PFR: 12.7% | AGG: 48% | Flop Agg: 35.7% | Turn Agg: 66.7% | River Agg: 60% | 3-Bet: 4.3% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 64]
SB ($10) [VPIP: 26.6% | PFR: 24.1% | AGG: 40% | Hands: 79]
HERO ($11) [VPIP: 25.6% | PFR: 16.8% | AGG: 29.6% | Flop Agg: 31.2% | Turn Agg: 31% | River Agg: 23.7% | 3-Bet: 8.9% | 4-Bet: 13.1% | Cold Call: 17% | Hands: 47589]

Dealt to Hero: 7♠ 7♦

HJ Calls $0.10, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.40, SB Folds, HERO Calls $0.30, HJ Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [11.16 effective]
Flop ($0.95): 7♥ J♥ T♥
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $0.68 (Rem. Stack: $17.83), HERO Raises To $2.05 (Rem. Stack: $8.55), BTN Calls $1.37 (Rem. Stack: $16.46)

Could have made this even larger to be honest given how wet the board is. If villain comes over the top im definitely calling/going all in.

Turn ($5.05): 7♥ J♥ T♥ 9♣
HERO Checks, BTN Checks

On this turn I don't see much merit in betting, especially against this opponent who had shown lots of aggression post flop throughout the session. When I check here I feel like im representing a checkraised flushdraw that doesn't want to bet again, or two pair/set. Villain might try to barrel me off here, so I decided to x/call, with the intention of calling the river most likely.

River ($5.05): 7♥ J♥ T♥ 9♣ 8♦
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $4.80 (Rem. Stack: $11.66), HERO Calls $4.80 (Rem. Stack: $3.75)

This is where I am unsure as to what to do. Obviously shouldn't bet to get villain of a chop because if I get raised its a disaster. When villain bets here I have no idea as to whether I should be calling or folding. Opponent would have likely bet a flush/straight on the turn, so in my opinion this line looks like the villain is trying to get me off a chop with a hand like a pair of Jacks, twopair or some timidly played flushdraw that missed(A♥:T♣:, etc) Only value hands I could think of where QJ or QQ that didn't bet the turn. What are all your thoughts on this river?

Spoiler

BTN shows: Q♣ Q♥

BTN wins: $13.92


Reply
Quote
1 reply
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Sizing on flop could be more against a passive villain to like $2,20, but this isn't to bad.
Turn and river is fine I think. Tough to get value and on river you are playing the board.
If you expect he will only bet with a better straight or a flush I would make a fold.

Cheers,
SDK1987


Reply
Quote