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Bluff catching with Aces on a bad river

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Gianzzurri99
Joined: 13.02.2019

Hand from Ignition 10NL, 6max

Thoughts on the best action for this river?
Opponent is very loose so I expect them to have a lot of Kings that would play this way. Maybe some flushdraws that bluff on the end but villain had been fairly passive so far, wasn't expecting too much bluffing to be done here so I decided to make a fold.

Anyways, checked back later and villain had the 6♦:5♠:, deciding to turn it into a bluff on the river.
I would definitely call against a player who I thought was capable of bluffing more on the river but is this spot always a call on the river. Feels like I will be shown Kings full here a lot of the time.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.10(BB)
HERO ($12.09) [VPIP: 25.5% | PFR: 17.1% | AGG: 29.7% | Flop Agg: 31.3% | Turn Agg: 31.2% | River Agg: 23.8% | 3-Bet: 8.9% | 4-Bet: 13.5% | Hands: 58893]
BB ($4.55) [VPIP: 31.3% | PFR: 18.8% | AGG: 6.7% | Hands: 16]
HJ ($15.35) [VPIP: 78.9% | PFR: 10.5% | AGG: 20.6% | Flop Agg: 19.2% | Turn Agg: 25% | River Agg: 17.6% | 3-Bet: 0% | 4-Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 68% | Hands: 38]
CO ($7.89) [VPIP: 38.4% | PFR: 27.2% | AGG: 41% | Hands: 125]
BTN ($4.69) [VPIP: 50% | PFR: 26.1% | AGG: 35.6% | Flop Agg: 40.9% | Turn Agg: 25% | River Agg: 36.4% | 3-Bet: 16.7% | 4-Bet: 33.3% | Cold Call: 26.1% | Hands: 46]

Dealt to Hero: A♦ A♣

HJ Calls $0.10, CO Folds, BTN Calls $0.10, HERO Raises To $0.60, BB Folds, HJ Calls $0.50, BTN Calls $0.50

Hero SPR on Flop: [2.15 effective]
Flop ($1.90): K♠ 7♥ 6♥
HERO Bets $0.90 (Rem. Stack: $10.59), HJ Calls $0.90 (Rem. Stack: $13.85), BTN Folds

Turn ($3.70): K♠ 7♥ 6♥ 7♠
HERO Bets $2.64 (Rem. Stack: $7.95), HJ Calls $2.64 (Rem. Stack: $11.21)

River ($8.98): K♠ 7♥ 6♥ 7♠ K♦
HERO Checks, HJ Bets $4.27 (Rem. Stack: $6.94), HERO Folds

Spoiler

HJ wins: $8.54


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2 replies
Alek891
Joined: 11.07.2015

1. Squeeze bigger OOP, especially vs fish.
2. On the flop, villaing HJ, fish doesn't seem much aggro, so he will not bluff, but will call you wide. Thus bet BIG, protection on a drawy board + lots of value from him.
3. Turn would overbet or even shove for protection, as there is lots of cards on river we find it hard to play against.
4. On the River, you need to bet block, otherwise he can easily bluff you.

5. Great spot for him to bluff, cause nothing completes on the river and you x back, I don't think he should be turning his KQ, KJ into a bluff, especially that you can hold AK, so it looks like a bluff to me, but his stats indicate fishy play, so I would just jam turn and take it down hoping he calls you with draws.


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Swish29
Joined: 06.04.2009

Originally posted by Alek891
1. Squeeze bigger OOP, especially vs fish.
2. On the flop, villaing HJ, fish doesn't seem much aggro, so he will not bluff, but will call you wide. Thus bet BIG, protection on a drawy board + lots of value from him.
3. Turn would overbet or even shove for protection, as there is lots of cards on river we find it hard to play against.
4. On the River, you need to bet block, otherwise he can easily bluff you.

5. Great spot for him to bluff, cause nothing completes on the river and you x back, I don't think he should be turning his KQ, KJ into a bluff, especially that you can hold AK, so it looks like a bluff to me, but his stats indicate fishy play, so I would just jam turn and take it down hoping he calls you with draws.

1. I think it's fine to raise 6bb, BTN only has 47bb starting the hand, HJ plays 80% of hands so it's hard to continue for him if we bet a lot more
2. Would also bet more so that I can shove turn vs BTN if BTN calls and HJ folds
3. Shove over 100bb? Seems weird, we run the risk of getting called by 7x only
4. Blockbet so that we don't face a bluff? Seems weird, if he has a missed draw we'd rather check and get more money from his bluffs, and that would be a reason to check, not bet
5. Kx = AK here (you misread the board), and why is it a great spot to bluff if everything misses? Also, hero does not check back, hero is OOP

I like the line overall (maybe a bigger flop bet though but that's it), as played I'm calling river, we beat 98/85/54/all the flush draws, 65 type of hands that are now counterfeit, 22-55, I think it's actually an easy call, anything besides x/c river vs this size is not standard vs such a player. Sometimes bad players randomly bet 88 as well here, and I think they like to bet more than 1/2 pot with stronger hands


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