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NL16 AA 3bet pot with overpair on bad turn card

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Laci24
Joined: 07.10.2009

Hi

What do you think about his turn pot bet range?

Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players

SB: $26.01 (162.6 bb), 170k hands, 36/16
Hero (BB): $16.66 (104.1 bb)
MP1: $19.67 (122.9 bb)
MP2: $18.46 (115.4 bb) 80k hands, 40/20/7,2, -27bb/100, WTSD: 30, Wonsd: 43
MP PFR: 37, MP fold to 3bet OOP: 34, 3bet pot fold to cbet IP: 33, xr and r flop: 11
turn AFq: 36, turn bet: 41, bet vs missed IP: 70

MP3: $17.86 (111.6 bb)
CO: $16.64 (104 bb)
BTN: $17 (106.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♥: A♣:
MP1 folds, MP2 raises to $0.48, 3 folds, SB calls $0.40, Hero raises to $1.99, MP2 calls $1.51, SB folds

Probably 2.1 will be better...

Flop: ($4.46) J♠: 7♠: Q♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.84, MP2 calls $2.84

Turn: ($10.14) 3♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $11.84 :pcuser:, Hero calls $11.83 and is all-in

River: ($33.80) 9♣: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$33.80 pot ($1.50 rake)
Final Board: J♠: 7♠: Q♦: 3♠: 9♣:
Hero showed A♥: A♣: and lost (-$16.66 net)
MP2 showed Q♣: J♣: and won $32.30 ($15.64 net)

Asztal: JhQs7s3s
Részesedés Nyert Osztozás
MP2 40.98% 40.98% 0.00% { AhAc }
MP3 59.02% 59.02% 0.00% { QhQc, JhJc, 7h7c, AQs, AdKd, AhKh, AsKs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QcJc, AsTs, KdTd, KhTh, KcTc, QsTs, JsTs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, Js9s, Ts9s, As8s, 9s8s, As7s, 8s7s, As6s, 7s6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, AQo, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AhKs, AsKd, AsKh, AsKc, AcKs, KsQd, KsQh, KsQc }

KQ is interesting. I can image turn push with QxKs, but without spade probably it is normal size of bet or check.
I wait flop raise KTs, and most of the QJs, and sets. So, I felt in game that it is very close. I got 35 percent, and I will pay rake when I call.

How do you see this turn spot?


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3 replies
Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

The villain seems like a calling station to me so I would likely squeeze HUGE preflop.

As played, it feels like a fold but it is very tough to fold.

It's a tough spot on turn for sure.

With 80k hands on him, you probably did alright.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

the SPR is such that villain can choose to have only jams or checks on the turn, so i don't think the pot bet "means" anything.
the turn line probably depends on what we expect villain to do with hands such as T9s, A:s J, TT:s, we might even be able to jam ourselves if villain doesn't fold many Jx/pair with a spade. if villain checks behind, we might still get put to a tough spot on many rivers.


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Laci24
Joined: 07.10.2009

I thank you for the comments. These are helpful to me. :)


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