A5s 3bet IP Riverbet?

So, one easy way to look at these spots, where neither one of you is usually nutted (2x or 44) is to simply look at the entire 4 combos of the suited hand you are holding. His bluffs need to work 2/3 of the time or 67% for this bet size. In order to shut that down, we have to call here sometimes right? So, call the A5dd, A5hh, A5cc and fold the A5ss on this flop. The BDFD gives you about 3 more points of equity and we can continue on any 3 or card of our suit.

As played on the river, I think it's kind of close. I expect some overfolding on this runout (other Ax BDFD's that we can get to fold a split or fold the best hand that wins at showdown). If we revert to looking at how we would play the 3 combo of A5s that get to this river, A5dd is betting for value and we have a decision with the A5cc and A5hh. I think the value bet should be smaller in nature since his best hand here when we have a flush is Qx. My logic here would be to bet small trying to extract with A5dd and try to squeeze out some value by betting 1/3 to 1/2 pot. I am very confident that they are going to overfold so I would probably just bluff one of the other A5s combos and check for SD value the other time.

In this instance, we are obviously getting to river with all 4 combos of A4s. I would still be value betting A5dd and I would chose this combo as our bluff since we unblock the BDFD's in his range.

Any info on villain would be nice as well. I don't think it's to crazy to fold pre-flop against a UTG raise. 3betting seems pretty loose against a unknown on NL2. I would earlier call in position that changing A5s in to a bluff.

Cheers,
SDK1987