Originally posted by csnmf
Originally posted by ShinShya
Hello,
I'm looking for a program that will give me a graph with a couple lines. One line showing how much I should had made and another line showing my actual winnings. I know of a program called PokerEV that does something similar to this, but I'm not sure if the thing is correct or not. I just ran a session, I got in good 5x, won all 5x and it says I'm running 2 BIs lucky, which isn't true =/
ty!
Shinshya
You don't understand EV.
If you got it in each of those 5 times as 100% then the program is wrong, but obviously you didn't let's say for arguments sake you were 75% fav all 5 times therefore in the long run you only expect to win .75x5=3.75 buy ins but since you won all 5 times you are running 1.25 buyins over expectation.
Oh, right. I see what you are saying... Let me give an example to make sure I do know. Example:
I get it all in PF with 80% equity 3 times, .80x3=2.4 but since I actually won the full 3 BIs I'm .6 over expectation?