hi,
I think this is a super easy with a gutter overs and bdfd. Lets make a calc to be sure. (100*456)/(456+456+240+101)=36,4% equity needed. So lets assume I have my 4 gutter outs, out for my bdfd, and about 6 outs for my overs thats 11 outs. I discound 1 out my ace outs for the possibility of 2pair and 1 of my Q outs for a better str8 from villain. 8*4%+3*3%=32%+9%=41%. If I would discound two more outs for villains coolers and redaws I would have 35% but I think this is not really realistic. Do you agree?
Chico - 15/30 Ante 3 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
SB: 426 (14.2 bb)
BB: 849 (28.3 bb)
UTG: 754 (25.1 bb)
Hero (CO): 650 (21.7 bb)
BTN: 321 (10.7 bb)
5 players post ante of 3, SB posts 15, BB posts 30
Pre Flop: (pot: 60) Hero has Q
A
UTG calls 30, Hero raises to 90, 3 folds, UTG calls 60
Flop: (240, 2 players) 9 T
8
UTG checks, Hero bets 101, UTG raises to 661 and is all-in, Hero calls 456 and is all-in
Turn: (1,354, 2 players) 2
River: (1,354, 2 players) 3
Spoiler
Results: 1,354 pot (0 rake)
Final Board: 9 T 8 2 3
UTG shows K T: (One Pair, Tens)
(Pre 39%, Flop 63%, Turn 59%)
Hero shows Q A: (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 61%, Flop 37%, Turn 41%)
UTG wins 1,354
I think this fits with this range. I would discoud lots of natural 3bet shoves here.
Board: 9d8h8c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 57.60% 56.16% 2.89% { AdQd }
MP3 42.40% 40.96% 2.89% { 77-22, ATs-A7s, K7s+, Q5s+, J5s+, T6s+, 97s-96s, 86s+, 76s, 65s, AJo-A9o, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
