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QQ vs blind

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mjez1
Joined: 29.06.2015

What range would you give to a villain?

PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $13.00 (260 bb)
MP (Hero): $5.02 (100 bb)
CO: $3.45 (69 bb)
BU: $5.14 (103 bb)
SB: $5.17 (103 bb)
BB: $5.76 (115 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is MP with Q Q
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.15, 2 players fold, SB 3-bets to $0.66, 1 fold, Hero 4-bets to $1.75, SB calls $1.09

Flop: ($3.55) 9 2 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.12, SB calls $1.12

Turn: ($5.79) T (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.15 (all-in), SB calls $2.15


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8 replies
monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019

Well played IMO.
I'd say Villain's range is something along these lines:
Preflop: QQ-TT, AKs, KQs
Flop: QQ-TT,AcKc,AsKs,KcQc,KsQs
Turn: QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs
On the turn you still have 64% equity.


Board: 9♠2♣2♠ T♦
Pos  Equity  Range
MP   64.14% { QQ }
SB   35.86% { QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

Originally posted by monteCarlol
Well played IMO.
I'd say Villain's range is something along these lines:
Preflop: QQ-TT, AKs, KQs
Flop: QQ-TT,AcKc,AsKs,KcQc,KsQs
Turn: QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs
On the turn you still have 64% equity.


Board: 9♠2♣2♠ T♦
Pos  Equity  Range
MP   64.14% { QQ }
SB   35.86% { QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations

64% equity against villains turn calling range? Is he calling our turn bet with AK here or KQs here? Maybe AK of spades but we have the Qs in hand. I would not exclude KK and AA fron his range entirely pre, I think he can also call a 4-bet with them. I dont like the turn card because we are behind to TT now and that was a portion of his range we were ahead of besides JJ.

I don’t know if we are ahead more than 50% to bet the turn if he ever has AA or KK in his range since we would be ahead of AKss and JJ now but behind to everything else and splitting with 1 combo of QQ


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monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019

Originally posted by Casey55

Originally posted by monteCarlol
Well played IMO.
I'd say Villain's range is something along these lines:
Preflop: QQ-TT, AKs, KQs
Flop: QQ-TT,AcKc,AsKs,KcQc,KsQs
Turn: QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs
On the turn you still have 64% equity.


Board: 9♠2♣2♠ T♦
Pos  Equity  Range
MP   64.14% { QQ }
SB   35.86% { QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations

64% equity against villains turn calling range? Is he calling our turn bet with AK here or KQs here? Maybe AK of spades but we have the Qs in hand. I would not exclude KK and AA fron his range entirely pre, I think he can also call a 4-bet with them. I dont like the turn card because we are behind to TT now and that was a portion of his range we were ahead of besides JJ.

I don’t know if we are ahead more than 50% to bet the turn if he ever has AA or KK in his range since we would be ahead of AKss and JJ now but behind to everything else and splitting with 1 combo of QQ

Yes, OTTwe are ahead of Villain's calling range, which includes only AsKs, KsQs besides the SD value hands.
If we include 2 combos of AA our equity drops to 55%.


Board: 9♠2♣2♠ T♦
Pos  Equity  Range
MP   55.31% { QQ }
SB   44.69% { QQ-TT,AcAs,AcAh,AsKs,KsQs }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations

Yes, TT is in SB's range, but we cannot check behind IMO because, we have to call a river bet anyway and by betting we still get value from JJ and flush draws.


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

Originally posted by monteCarlol

Originally posted by Casey55

Originally posted by monteCarlol
Well played IMO.
I'd say Villain's range is something along these lines:
Preflop: QQ-TT, AKs, KQs
Flop: QQ-TT,AcKc,AsKs,KcQc,KsQs
Turn: QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs
On the turn you still have 64% equity.


Board: 9♠2♣2♠ T♦
Pos  Equity  Range
MP   64.14% { QQ }
SB   35.86% { QQ-TT,AsKs,KsQs }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations

64% equity against villains turn calling range? Is he calling our turn bet with AK here or KQs here? Maybe AK of spades but we have the Qs in hand. I would not exclude KK and AA fron his range entirely pre, I think he can also call a 4-bet with them. I dont like the turn card because we are behind to TT now and that was a portion of his range we were ahead of besides JJ.

I don’t know if we are ahead more than 50% to bet the turn if he ever has AA or KK in his range since we would be ahead of AKss and JJ now but behind to everything else and splitting with 1 combo of QQ

Yes, OTTwe are ahead of Villain's calling range, which includes only AsKs, KsQs besides the SD value hands.
If we include 2 combos of AA our equity drops to 55%.


Board: 9♠2♣2♠ T♦
Pos  Equity  Range
MP   55.31% { QQ }
SB   44.69% { QQ-TT,AcAs,AcAh,AsKs,KsQs }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations

Yes, TT is in SB's range, but we cannot check behind IMO because, we have to call a river bet anyway and by betting we still get value from JJ and flush draws.

Villain cant have KQ of spades, we have the Q of ♠️. If you include AA and KK in villains range I don’t think we are ahead more than 50% of the time to value bet on the turn. We also don’t know if villain bets river, and if he does we don’t have to call , if his range is TT and better overpairs. Villain checking river is also something that can happen.

Villain has 1 FD and 6 combos of JJ, he can potentially have 12 combos of AA and KK, 3 combos of TT. If he does bet river depending on size I think we could call since we are ahead of 6 combos of JJ and split with QQ+ if no spade comes ahead of AKss but I’d rather check turn and call river than bet turn myself I think here


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monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019

Ah, I missed that we have the Qs. Still vs QQ-TT,AcAs,AcAh,AsKs we still have more than 50% equity. Of course the more KK+ combos we add the more the equity drops. Vs TT+ we still have 30% equity. The pot odds demand to call (even though Villain might not bet river with JJ, or they might ¯_(ツ)_/¯). So I would rather bet turn, also we are fucked if river is a A or a K. No way I am not betting turn.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would most likely shove the flop with less than a pot size bet left for value. Now you committing yourself with basicly any reasonable Cbet sizing.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019
mjez1
Joined: 29.06.2015

An interesting thread is ongoing here. The way you think about the hand is far ahead of how I'm capable to think about the hand.
Thank you :f_drink: I pick up new suggestions on what to study.


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