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[Closed] NL100 AJo BB

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mishuq
Joined: 31.07.2008

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
7 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Grogdish1 ($34.95)
UTG+1 keanuRiver ($115.80)
MP becks1874 ($146.05)
CO Bart_Goor ($98.50)
BTN JJGG7 ($42.50)
SB Superbroggi ($98.00)
BB Hero ($20.00)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 7 players) Hero is BB A♠ J♦
4 folds, JJGG7 calls $1, Superbroggi raises to $4, Hero raises to $20, JJGG7 calls $19, Superbroggi raises to $44, JJGG7 calls $22.50

Flop: 4♣ 3♦ K♣ ($106.50, 3 players)

Turn: J♣ ($106.50, 3 players)

River: 9♥ ($106.50, 3 players)

Final Pot: $106.50

_biggrin:

SB was playing 37/8 and BT is a 57/0.2 regular.
thought about it and figured out that even tho my intentions were to isolate myself with the SB, I think if btn calls here I have better pot odds.

AJo is for me pretty marginal hand even from BB, but I saw this as a good spot to push, basically because of my 2 opponents stats.

I'd like to be sure if this was correct from maths point of view


4 replies
DaPhunk
Joined: 01.03.2008

Don't Post Results please. They Screw with my Head so I can't think of the correct answer to the hand so easily.

If SB has an average PFR of 8 then maybe his SB Isolation range for this superloose BU limper could be the 15% required to push in this spot?

I think I might err on the side of Caution here and 3bet 99+ AQ+


mishuq
Joined: 31.07.2008

sorry, edited..

Originally posted by DaPhunk
I think I might err on the side of Caution here and 3bet 99+ AQ+

I totally agree, if villains have just a bit better image I would perhaps go for TT+/AK+ isolation range, but they showed me no skills over 300 hands +


burek2000
Joined: 16.11.2007

Hi mishuq,

from "math point of view" that's a clear fold. Against 8 PFR you have only 39% equity and for isolating OOP people usually don't get too fancy and stay tight imo, so I wouldn't presume SB's range isn't much wider. Therefore I would push here AK(AQs)/TT+.

If you however think SB might try to isolate(even OOP) with random hand, because BU is such a fish then you can shove.

I would fold, because when passive players like SB start to raise, it's usually a strong hand, but I'm leaving this unjudged for another judge to have a look.

Regards,
burek2000


Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

I need to see WTSD stats to be completely sure. l/c% of BTN would also be awesome

But as the way I see it, I push AJ+,88+ here because an Isolation Range (even though it is SB=OOP) is way looser than 8%

Folding is okay but I think you miss opportunity here

- Gerv