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KTs QQT board turn-river?

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Iceman1152
Joined: 17.07.2017

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 85 BB
Hero (CO): 100 BB
BTN: 100 BB
SB: 99 BB
BB: 40 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♣ T♣

UTG calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (10.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣ T♥ Q♦
Hero bets 5 BB, BTN calls 5 BB

Turn: (20.5 BB, 2 players) 9♣
Hero bets 13 BB, BTN calls 13 BB

River: (46.5 BB, 2 players) 9♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 28.5 BB, fold

BTN wins 45 BB

We have no info about villain but he seems tight.
I think the flop is standard, I bet the turn because we took some more EQ with the FSD and the gutshot.
Was this a good play or should've called his river bet?


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3 replies
braunkan
Joined: 01.11.2021

I would just check the flop and hope to get to showdown without the pot getting much bigger. The only hands in his range we can really get value from are under pairs and JTs, and we will probably only be getting 1 street of value from those holdings. X-calling lets us get value from bluffs or get to the river cheap if he checks back, at which point we can consider a value bet.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Seems well played. Turn Cbet is close against a unknown on NL2, but sometimes you can still get value here.

River I would fold as well. Tough to think you beat any hand. It would be insane if villain would change ace high in to a bluff.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019

The BU vs CO flatting range should be quite strong (also vs the CO iso-raising range).
Additionally, the flop favors the BU range.


Board: Q♣T♥Q♦
Pos  Equity  Range
CO   41.47% { 22+,A2s+,K3s+,Q5s+,J7s+,T7s+,97s+,86s+,76s,65s,54s,43s,A7o+,A5o,KTo+,QTo+,JTo }
BU   58.53% { TT-77,AJs-A8s,A4s,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,AQo }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations

So I would start by checking. Probably x/c flop and maybe turn and fold to a river bet. IMO there are not that many bluffs that V can have by the river. Almost everything gets there, and I doubt they will turn hands like A8s, A4s, JTs, or 88 into a bluff.


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