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PLO50 JT87ss river bluff catch?

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Villain had attacked my flop check previous orbit as well but no reads really. I would think villain value bets like AQ+. I think flop and turn cant really play otherwise. River is fairly blank. Though I suppose its basically better for my range to improve into top set or two pairs. Then again nuts doesnt change so if villain was bluffing turn he might barrel again. Not blocking straight but at same time not blocking busted draws heavily either...

Too call happy to feel like hero calling?

Game #1648046243: Table €50 PL - 0.25/0.50 - Pot Limit Omaha - 18:53:55 2022/03/11
Seated players
Seat 1: RobPot (€83.65)
Seat 2: Lemopi (€38.97)
Seat 3: Snovit (€29.13)
Seat 4: Samarin (€57.59)
Seat 5: tsirilirps (€50) (sitting out)
Seat 6: Megaladon (€59.60) (sitting out)
Blinds and button
Lemopi has the button
Snovit posts small blind €0.25
Samarin posts big blind €0.50
Hole cards
Dealt to Lemopi J♠:T♣:7♣:8♦:
Preflop
RobPot folds
Lemopi raises €1.75 to €1.75
Snovit folds
Samarin calls €1.25
Flop 5♥:Q♠:7♥: (3.62€)
Samarin checks
Lemopi checks
Turn 8♠: (3.62€)
Samarin bets €2.81
Lemopi calls €2.81
River A♦: (9.04€)
Samarin bets €7.02
Lemopi?


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Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

Well, I can quickly think quite many natural valuebet hands, and not that many natural bluffing hands. So it seems that his range on the river should be very value-heavy. You are not even blocking straights.

As that river bet should be very polarizing, with JT you are blocking his air hands that would semibluff the turn. On the other hand, that turn opens so many things that it's not that good to bluff in the first place. There are only 8 really blank cards in the deck, everything else changes the board. If opponent is sane, he should have straight or blockers on the turn. And in my opinion he shouldn't bet naked blockers on the turn on that board.

I wouldn't call without reads that he heavily does double barrel blocker bluffs. Close, but there are more reasons not to call than to call imo.


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