The villain is 16/14/ATS:80/3B:17, 144 hands
It's a pretty tight stats, imo. A possible uber nit.
JTs on CO vs HJ is 8% call, 58.5% fold, 33.5% 3 bet.
It's actually better to fold preflop really in aggressive games, but it's a bit of leak in my game. And if you wanna play it then commit to a 3bet preflop.
GG Poker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 109.82 BB
SB: 107.68 BB
BB: 101 BB
UTG: 167.7 BB
MP: 114.24 BB
Hero (CO): 101.5 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♦ J♦
fold, MP raises to 2.1 BB, Hero calls 2.1 BB, fold, SB calls 1.6 BB, fold
Flop: (7.3 BB, 3 players) Q♠ 4♥ K♦
SB checks, MP bets 2.42 BB, Hero calls 2.42 BB, fold
Turn: (12.14 BB, 2 players) A♥
MP checks, Hero bets 9.48 BB, MP calls 9.48 BB
River: (31.1 BB, 2 players) 4♣
MP checks, Hero bets 16.18 BB, MP raises to 100.24 BB and is all-in, Hero ? ?
I think his check/call on turn is telling because I bet big.
I almost think that I should make a massive overbet on turn and then just check back on paired board river.
The thing is I felt spooked seeing the board pair on river.
Thoughts?