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PLO50 AJT8ss facing block-bet otr in 3bp

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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

Villain is a known LAG-style regular (30/20/10 AF2) I have a decent sample and some notes that tell me he is capable of doing weird bluffing stuff. We have an aggressive dynamics, he seems to be slightly tilty after losing 1 or 2 stacks. He yet did not lose in that session though. On the turn my call is already little marginal but against him it´s fine. On the river I get a really tricky spot, his weird sizing is a bet-sizing tell saying his hand is not very strong, I would exclude the nutstraights, not sure about second-nutstraight. He is not a player trapping with nuts like this. My thinking was my A♠: and 8♥: both are blocking straights and he should not have too many low stuff from UTG anyways.

iPoker - €0.50 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

SB: €52.78 (105.6 bb)
BB: €64.63 (129.3 bb)
UTG: €80.05 (160.1 bb)
MP: €111.71 (223.4 bb)
CO: €58.70 (117.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): €53.46 (106.9 bb)

SB posts €0.25, BB posts €0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: €0.75) Hero has T♣: J♣: 8♥: A♠:
UTG raises to €1.75, 2 folds, Hero raises to €6.00, 2 folds, UTG calls €4.25

Flop: (€12.75, 2 players) 4♠: J♠: 7♣:
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: (€12.75, 2 players) 2♥:
UTG bets €8.92, Hero calls €8.92

River: (€30.59, 2 players) 5♦:
UTG bets €13.00, Hero?

Spoiler

Hero calls €13.00

Results: €56.59 pot (€1.50 rake)
Final Board: 4♠: J♠: 7♣: 2♥: 5♦:

UTG shows Q♣: Q♠: 4♣: 4♦:: (Three of a Kind, Fours)
(Pre 59%, Flop 81%, Turn 90%)

Hero mucks T♣: J♣: 8♥: A♠:: (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 41%, Flop 19%, Turn 10%)

UTG wins €55.09


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efkay
Joined: 25.03.2005

i guess you avoid cbetting nfblocker+ topsetblocker OTF due to the dynamics? Because even with the dynamics I would not mind cbettig here, especially with some backdoors. if he xraises he should be on something or he is overplaying so hard that things dont matter in the long term and he will make heavy mistakes.

since he bets bigger on turn and lower on river unless you have some history I see some twopairs/sets that want to valuetown OPs but are afraid of the incoming straights OTR.

you dont have that many 86 in your 3bet range either but if you want to go for it I would say bluffraise > fold > call

another thing I just read was about non SD winnings lately that cached my mind: on higher stakes this might be the difference from breakeven to winning player so you might want to look for these bluffing spots more agressively


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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

Originally posted by efkay
i guess you avoid cbetting nfblocker+ topsetblocker OTF due to the dynamics?

Maybe, at least I was not aware. But I agree that it´s indeed a great cbet candidate!

My thinking might has been sth like protecting Turn-range with 2pairs and realizing Equity with Top-pair and GS.

I am not sure about bluffraising, I don´t think he would fold his set there, primarily due to his lack of discipline. :coolface:


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