facing 3 barrels with tpgk

Joined: 29.08.2022

08.09.2022, 04:39 0

villain is unknown. 10 hands 8/8
ignition, NL100, full ring

preflop - call as fish was on SB.
turn - call, not raise, as the size of the bet was big
river - I am not sure I beat too much here AJ, AT, A9, clubs suited hands (probably would bet bigger on river). I have a flush blocker, but sizing line is quite strong
The villain doesn't have a full stack, so I'd assume he is not a reg

NL Holdem 1(BB)
HERO ($112.13)
MP2 ($85.86)

Dealt to Hero: Q♦ A♥

UTG Folds, EP Folds, MP1 Folds, MP2 Raises To $3, HERO Calls $3, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds

Flop ($8.50): A♦ K♦ 4♣
MP2 Bets $4.04 (Rem. Stack: $78.82), HERO Calls $4.04 (Rem. Stack: $105.09)

Turn ($16.58): A♦ K♦ 4♣ K♣
MP2 Bets $11.82 (Rem. Stack: $67), HERO Calls $11.82 (Rem. Stack: $93.27)

River ($40.22): A♦ K♦ 4♣ K♣ 2♦
MP2 Bets $19.11 (Rem. Stack: $47.89), HERO ???

Reply

Quote

4 replies

SDK1987

Moderator

Joined: 12.11.2008

Posts: 43,850

08.09.2022, 18:26 0

Seems well played. It's tough to fold top pair on the river with the odds you get and you have a bluff catcher.

Cheers,
SDK1987

Reply

Quote

EnriqueBunbury

Joined: 20.05.2010

Posts: 21,975

09.09.2022, 05:50 0

Hello,

How interesting, you have to win more than 25% of the time for it to be profitable, the issue is if the villain has that 25% bluff.
IF it was against a regular, I might think he bluffs Ax because he knows the only full house you have is 44 and even KQ has a tough call on that river.
I see few hands that go to the river and can bluff or over play like AJ or AT.

Board: A♦K♦4♣ K♣ 2♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    73.81%  66.67%  14.29% { KK+, 44, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, QcTc, JdTd, Td9d, 9d8d, AQo+, KJo+ }
BU     26.19%  19.05%  14.29% { AhQd }

I didn't give him any totally marginal hands like 99 because that would be so rare.
Would the call be almost even?

Reply

Quote

rap1dw1n3r

Joined: 06.02.2009

Posts: 349

12.09.2022, 09:12 0

Id call in this spot, non full stack indicates a rec player who can definately take this line with AT AJ plus missed club draws, diamond is not a scare card since you loose to JdTd only, AK, KQ bets bigger on the river i think, so id say kinda easy call vs this sizing

Reply

Quote

Vampiir142

Joined: 01.10.2017

Posts: 261

02.10.2022, 20:26 0

Preflop call or 3B. Other streets look Ok. On the river call, it is so tight to fold it.

Reply

Quote