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KQ - hard decision with straight on dangerous board

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Laci24
Joined: 07.10.2009

Hi all :welcome:

I am not totally sure about the pre call. What do you think?
The main question on the river. What is best there?

PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

CO is Ishi4: $2.38 (47.6 bb)
Hero (BTN): $5.00 (100 bb)
SB: $5.50 (110 bb)
BB: $4.09 (81.8 bb)
UTG: $8.27 (165.4 bb)
UTG+1: $5.54 (110.8 bb)
MP: $4.56 (91.2 bb)

SB posts $0.02, BB posts $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has Q♥: K♥:
fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.17, MP calls $0.17, CO calls $0.17, Hero calls $0.17, SB calls $0.15, BB calls $0.12

Flop: ($1.02, 6 players) T♦: 9♣: 5♠:
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP checks, CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($1.02, 6 players) Q♦:
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP checks, CO checks, Hero bets $0.74, 4 folds, CO calls $0.74

River: ($2.50, 2 players) J♦:
CO bets $1.47 and is all-in, Hero?

His stats are in the link.


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4 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

You need to have an account to see villains stats.

Pre-flop is calling fine. KQs is playing well post-flop multi way and if you 3bet you need to fold against a 4bet and you play most of the time a big pot already.

Post-flop seems standard. Villain could have a flush or AK on the river, but tough to fold a straight I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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XANDEEEE
Joined: 20.08.2006

Hi

I like the call pre-flop.

Villain probably doesn't slow play any set or two pair unless he is very nitty. On the turn I would expect him also to bet a Queen. So I would believe on the turn he plays check/call with mainly draws.

On this river card, his lead is usually quite strong. Would he lead-shove with the worse straight here or the King? Some people might. Since his river-shove is only slightly above half pot I would probably make the call.


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Laci24
Joined: 07.10.2009

Thank you very much the analyses. :f_thumbsup:

SDK, I understand your feedback about statname. So next time, I will write down the stats.


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EnriqueBunbury
Joined: 20.05.2010

Hello,

On the river I think we have a fold, we only beat 8x and some doubles and JJ I doubt very much pusheen. We split with Kx and lose with AK and Flush.


Mesa: T♦5♠9♣ Q♦ J♦
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
CO     71.74%  52.17%  19.57% { KQs, KTs-K9s, 98s, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, 8d7d, Ad6d, 7d6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KQo }
BU     28.26%   8.70%  19.57% { KhQh }

I didn't give him AK because he could SQZ pf. Against that range the call is break even, you would have to find worse hands than pusheen to start considering paying profitably.


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