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67s BTN vs SB, top2 OTF, villain shove OTR

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yangmartins
Joined: 28.11.2009

PokerStars - €0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 154.4 BB 3k hands 30/19/2. 74% FS(SB), 3%3BvsS(SB)
BB: 115 BB
CO: 102 BB
Hero (BTN): 130.2 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 6♣ 7♣

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB, fold
Standard attack to the blinds, as BB also has big FS

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) 6♠ 7♦ 2♦
SB checks, Hero bets 3.6 BB, SB raises to 10 BB, Hero raises to 23 BB, SB calls 13 BB
Top 2 OTF is good for my hand, but needs a lot of protection, imo. In retrospect I think my Cbet should've been 70-90%pot. When he raises I start to think this could be a big hand, or a big disaster, but I don't see me folding nor even only calling that hand. I think the size here is ok.
I think his range here will be on the 89, 45, Ax FD, 22, 88-TT, some pair (6 or 7) with kicker.

Turn: (53 BB, 2 players) Q♥
SB checks, Hero bets 35 BB, SB calls 35 BB
This may complicate things for me, but at least is not a diamond, nor 3 or T, so I continue protecting and this time I think I made the size a little better.
I am not sure he keeps a lot of simple draws here, when he calls.

River: (123 BB, 2 players) 8♣
SB bets 93.4 BB and is all-in,
I can see him ahead with 22 set, a not likely 78, a not likely 9T, a 2 pairs with the Q, but I can also see him bluffing a missed draw with the 8, KQ, JQ, so it'll be kind of 50-50.

Spoiler

Hero calls 69.2 BB and is all-in

SB shows 9♦ 9♥ (One Pair, Nines)
(Pre 80%, Flop 32%, Turn 18%)
Hero shows 6♣ 7♣ (Two Pair, Sevens and Sixes)
(Pre 20%, Flop 68%, Turn 82%)
Hero wins 248.4 BB

if he didn't shove, think I'd be betting somewhere between 1/5 to 1/3. Would also appreciate your thoughts on that.


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2 replies
EnriqueBunbury
Joined: 20.05.2010

Hello,

Even the river is ok for me.

River I can contemplate a Hero fold, the truth is that his line is very strong to play like that 130bb effective; 8 completes some draws, 9T, 45s as he has a high VPIP and it's blind war could give him some off suited combos.
I don't think he is playing that many times like this Qxs of diamonds.

You have to earn 25%
I've given him a bluff range with diamond Axes and three TP combos, then straights and a set with 22 and 88.


Mesa: 7♦2♦6♠ Q♥ 8♣
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
BU     39.13%  39.13%   0.00% { 7c6c }
SB     60.87%  60.87%   0.00% { 88, 2d2s, 2h2s, 54s, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, QdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Th9d, Ts9d, Ts9h, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s }

Hello,
Against that range you have 39% so the call would be profitable, but this depends on whether you think that both a busted draw and a Qx play you.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Not sure what villian wants to represent with a shove on the river.
Straights shouldn't be in villians range after your 3bet on the flop and big Cbet on the turn.
3bet on flop could be more of around 27bb, but that's it.
I would expect a set would be shoving on the flop and you block them except 22.
Read less I would call as well. Q on turn is basicly a blank as well. Only QQ seems like a reasonable hand, but 2 pair with a Q shouldn't be in villians calling range on the flop.

Tough to fold the river I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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