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[PLO2] AQJ6ss - top2pair in HU

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

Only 28 hands of SB. Probably a calling station: VPIP of 81 and PFR of 11.
11 hands of BB. Possibly on the nit end? VPIP of 0 and PFR of 0.

$0.02 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100.5 BB
SB: 77.5 BB
BB: 97 BB
Hero (UTG): 150 BB
CO: 204.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ J♦ 6♣ A♥

Hero raises to 3.5 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 3 BB, BB calls 2.5 BB
Thoughts:

Spoiler

Guessing villains' range after the action

SB: 80%!(AA:Axx)
BB: 30%!AA

Flop: (10.5 BB, 3 players) J♠ A♣ 5♣
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 8 BB, fold, BB calls 8 BB
Thoughts:

Spoiler

It's a flop that hits my range a lot more than their range. But I don't recall if I should pot it vs 2 opponents or if 75% pot is fine.
My hand will hardly improve and I just have one blocker to str8s and another to flushes.

Guessing villain's range after the action

BB: 30%!AA!JJ, possibly 2 pairs, some flush draws and str8 draws

Turn: (26.5 BB, 2 players) 3♦
BB checks, Hero bets 13.5 BB, BB calls 13.5 BB
Thoughts:

Spoiler

Hate my sizing here, but not sure what to do. Freecards won't benefit me, but they could benefit villain a lot.
On the other hand, if I bet big, I'm afraid I could make the river hard to play.

Guessing villain's range after the action

BB: 30%!AA!JJ!42, possibly 2 pairs, some flush draws and str8 draws

River: (53.5 BB, 2 players) 8♦
BB checks, Hero checks

Thoughts:

Spoiler

Do I have a clear cbet here, on this blank? I'm ahead all the 2pairs, some dry A's.
Based on villain's actions, I'm only behind some random sets such as 55-5 or 33-3.
I think 88-8 would(?) lead here and I don't believe villain would check/raise a missed draw.

Guessing villain's range after the action

BB: 30%!AA!JJ!42!88, 2pairs, some dry A's and busted draws

Spoiler

BB shows 6♦ K♠ T♥ Q♠ (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 44%, Flop 36%, Turn 20%)
Hero shows Q♥ J♦ 6♣ A♥ (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 56%, Flop 64%, Turn 80%)
Hero wins 50 BB


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Flop sizing is good. On turn you should go bigger, 3/4-1x pot. Turn does complete wheel straight but 42 is such unlikely combo for any player. Especially for someone who has already folded 11 hands.

I don't mind checking river though value bet is not bad either. If betting I would go for smaller size like 1/3-1/2x pot. Bet becomes bit better in general after our smaller turn bet.


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