Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Semibluff-jam against aggro

6 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
397 Views
Paraibuda
Joined: 24.08.2022

Villain is 36/26 with a 3bet of 16 in 274 hands.

Pacific Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 117.8 BB
BB: 322 BB
CO: 132.6 BB
Hero (BTN): 116.4 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♠ T♠

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, SB raises to 12 BB, fold, Hero calls 9 BB

Flop: (25 BB, 2 players) K♠ 7♣ 8♠
SB bets 16.4 BB, Hero raises to 104.4 BB and is all-in, SB calls 88 BB

Turn: (233.8 BB, 2 players) A♠

River: (233.8 BB, 2 players) K♥

Spoiler

SB shows A♣ A♦ (Full House, Aces full of Kings)
(Pre 80%, Flop 61%, Turn 23%)
Hero shows Q♠ T♠ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 20%, Flop 39%, Turn 77%)
SB wins 220 BB

PF call with QTs is an adjustment to villain 3betting wide.

F I suppose he is range cbetting that board.
Having decent equity even if called with the draw for the 2nd nut flush, and a lot of fold equity too (he is folding any Ax and pocket pairs which make a huge part of his range) - aside from the fact that if I call I depend on completing the flush in a bloated pot OTT - I decide to go a little more agressive than usual and jam it.

What do you think about this one?
Thanks.


Reply
Quote
5 replies
EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

270 hands is nothing. Even worst nit can be viewed as aggressive if he is hitting good hands on that sample. Especially as he is using big sizing. Call flop and evaluate turn.


Reply
Quote
Paraibuda
Joined: 24.08.2022

No, he was actually pretty aggro.
He 3betted 98o, QJo which would be a nit’s worst nightmare.
300 is not a good sample size to seriously evaluate 4bet spots, maybe falls a bit short on the specifics of 3bet spots also, but it’s clearly enough to have a general idea of a player’s level of aggression.


Reply
Quote
EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

So why not call flop and shove turn?


Reply
Quote
Paraibuda
Joined: 24.08.2022

Because if he barrels turn my jam has less fold equity.
But the call OTF might make sense because by using the large bet size villain polarized his range and my reraise will frequently either bump into the nuts or make weaker hands fold. If he was actually range cbetting there I would expect a smaller size (didn't realize that in-game). Also, I'm not pot-commited if I call once eff. stacks ~120BB.
I had an equity of ~46% against his range OTF, even if he was 3betting ~10% I'd still have ~42% of equity. Idk. Certainly equity/implied odds enough to call, but adding the fold equity of a ridiculously large bet there just seemed pretty good to me.


Reply
Quote
EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

On flop you need ~34% fold equity(to be break/even) if you have ~35% equity vs calling range.
On turn if he bets again 2/3 then you would need ~29% fold equity as you have ~21% equity against calling range.


Reply
Quote