iPoker - €0.50 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 4 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
CO: €43.75 (88 bb)
BTN: €103.18 (206.4 bb)
Hero (SB): €81.78 (163.6 bb)
BB: €69.28 (138.6 bb)
Hero posts SB €0.25, BB posts €0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: €0.75) Hero has 5♥: T♦: Q♦: A♥:
CO raises to €1.75, BTN calls €1.75, Hero raises to €7.50, fold, CO calls €5.75, BTN calls €5.75
Flop: (€23.00, 3 players) J♥: 3♣: 4♠:
Hero bets €11.50 ...
CO is a 50/25 loose regular player with 20% raise vs cbet IP (!) having obvious loose but not crazy tendencies whereas BU is an 30/20/12.5 aggressive LAG betting and raising too much being more out of line.
OTF this is a good one for me as I have the the range advantage here even 3-way. Check-calling and check-raising are no real options so I could check-fold this but with the Q♦:T♦: straight pivot and A♥:5♥: backdoornutflushdraw plus wheel gutshot I have some nice backup that makes this hand an attractive semi-bluffing candidate, so the question is, which cbet sizing should I take?
Results:
Spoiler
Flop: (€23.00, 3 players) J♥: 3♣: 4♠:
Hero bets €11.50, CO raises to €36.25, fold, Hero calls €24.75
Turn: (€95.50, 2 players) 9♥:
River: (€95.50, 2 players) 8♠:
Results: €95.50 pot (€1.50 rake)
Final Board: J♥: 3♣: 4♠: 9♥: 8♠:
CO shows Q♠: 3♠: J♦: 6♦:: (Two Pair, Jacks and Threes)
(Pre 42%, Flop 70%, Turn 58%)
Hero shows 5♥: T♦: Q♦: A♥:: (Straight, Queen High)
(Pre 58%, Flop 30%, Turn 43%)
Hero wins €94.00
With half-pot sizing I could fold if I face multiway action or BU shoving I could call but with CO shoving BU folding with a straightforward range it was difficult to find the best decision. I dont think that he would do that, but if he had some Jack-top pair or weaker combos like pair+oesd shoving aswell it would have pushed the margins by >=~5% just over the required stack-off threshold. Anyways I think it is overall a marginal spot with pot-odds 2:1 and having just 29% Equity in the more realistic conservative scenario I guess folding probably has higher EV.
I mean If I´d had cbet pot otf I would have the pot equity to call but I am not sure if the additional FE is worth the possibility to fold against a call-shove or shove-overcall.
