Main pot, side pot, 350bb pot (Over thinking)

Its very spewy play to squeeze here. Personally just folding always. Issue is that on average people way underfold to 3bets. So here UTG is supposed to fold like maybe 60% of time but in reality its usually at best half of that. CO short stack is often not there to fold either and postflop fe versus him is very low. So we end up bloating pot with crappy hand (it might look good but its not really) and lot of time be in multiway pot in worst possible position. In practise I would stick to premium ds rundowns for squeezing these type of hands.

Flop we have kind of strong holding for this SPR so I would not mind to just bet and get overpairs and lot of equity to fold from UTG range. Its not really strong enough hand to induce bets from UTG and too strong to be x-fold.

As played river shove should be very value heavy but at same time he might think you dont have nuts with your line either. So could be sort of thin value with 2nd nuts.

Originally posted by ghaleon
Its very spewy play to squeeze here. Personally just folding always. Issue is that on average people way underfold to 3bets. So here UTG is supposed to fold like maybe 60% of time but in reality its usually at best half of that. CO short stack is often not there to fold either and postflop fe versus him is very low. So we end up bloating pot with crappy hand (it might look good but its not really) and lot of time be in multiway pot in worst possible position. In practise I would stick to premium ds rundowns for squeezing these type of hands.

Flop we have kind of strong holding for this SPR so I would not mind to just bet and get overpairs and lot of equity to fold from UTG range. Its not really strong enough hand to induce bets from UTG and too strong to be x-fold.

+1

On the turn I think our hand lacks visibility to check-call, or worse to overcall. But it fits perfectly as a lead bet, this is also true for the flop. Betting is usually always the more straightforward play in PLO if we don´t have to fear about becoming exploited. You said you want to induce a bluff ... you don´t even beat a bluff in terms of SDV. Inducing, trap checking etc. I would only recommend that if he have some information about villain. And this gets furtermore complicated when 3way cause we´d need to know their both tendencies. We would need to know that in tendency the bet is weak, the call is weak and that both fold a sufficient portion of their range, in this instance a check-shove would be an option with the gutshot but it´d be pretty wild vs unknown. Check-calling is more the route we take against passive guys that shutdown their aggression in such a scenario or weak behaviour like paying off mediocre stuff against a donk-shove.

River is tricky, Flushdraw blocker and straightblocker kinda counterfeit each other. I think folding is definitely an option in many situations but stacking off is probably more sound from a theoretical perspective. You should not start making big laydowns on half way to showdown habitually at that SPR, you won´t have the straight often enough and the optimum strategy/balancing as played is incredibly difficult to figure out, squeezed pots are pretty niche so we all don´t have studied those off tables I assume. Overall spoken if you don´t know if your hand is good enough on the turn it´s an indicator that you have misplayed it preflop, if you called solely to odds, you have to stick to your plan and fold the river.