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[Closed] Fl Fr QQ

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psychoreaper
Joined: 25.03.2009

Known players:       
[tg]UTG$4,94:///////;Hero$5,37:///////;MP3$6,02:///////;[/tg]
0,1/0,2 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.65 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q♥, Q♦
UTG raises, 2 folds, Hero 3-bets, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, 4 folds, UTG caps, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (13,50 SB) 4♠, K♣, 3♦ (3 players)
UTG bets, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

Turn: (8,25 BB) 2♣ (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets, MP3 calls, UTG calls.

River: (11,25 BB) T♦ (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets, MP3 calls, UTG calls.

Final Pot: 14,25 BB

Any better lines here?


2 replies

Hi!

Well, if we put UTG on PS.com range,you dont beat a single hand on this flop
He has AK,AKs,QQ,KK,AA(maybe JJ,AQs if he is bit looser one but dont count much on that).However if you provide any reads ,his range changes.On flop I will put MP3(probably a bad player) on around 30%.

UTG ps.com range:

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 81,723% 79,172% 5,103% 15,726% QQ+, AKs, AKo
Player 2: 7,915% 6,413% 3,005% 90,582% QhQd
Player 3: 10,362% 9,313% 2,098% 88,589% 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o

UTG bit looser range:

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 62,341% 60,507% 3,668% 35,825% JJ+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2: 22,168% 21,039% 2,259% 76,702% QhQd
Player 3: 15,491% 14,719% 1,544% 83,737% 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o

So you are not doing great,but the pot is giving 1:15 so its an easy call + he may be bluffing.If they however, start raising wars you can easily fold.

Turn is a close one if he bets.You can fold as the pot is too small and there is one player behind you still to act who may raise.And your equity against ps.com is,...

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 81,786% 78,357% 6,858% 14,785% QQ+, AKs, AKo
Player 2: 4,697% 3,290% 2,814% 93,896% QhQd
Player 3: 13,517% 11,495% 4,044% 84,460% 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o

...very bad

But as he checks,you probably have to bet ,trying to extract value from something like Ahigh,JJ,TT.
River I would not bet again as i cannot see a worse hand calling.Rather play check/call


firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

Nice Analysis Bapsy!

I dont put him on a better hand than our. he would have bet with a king so there are jacks left for another valuebet.