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[Closed] NL100 FR QQ turned Ace

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MP1 is 46/8/1 in 48hands, ccpf=33.3%, likes to see a lot of flop.
And he has fold to flop bet ~ 1/3, WTSD35, W$SD29.

After cbet gets called, I thought he may has a J, T, some pp, or some Ax dont want to fold on the flop, and maybe some 98 KQ K9.
The Ace is not good for me, and maybe he dos not like it either.
Sould I just bet the turn and hope to get called by SD or a T and fold to check/raise?

On the river is it good to fire about 60%pot for value?

Thanks.

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BB$51.60:///////;UTG2$233.75:///////;MP1$129.45:///////;MP2$62.05:///////;MP3(Hero)$100.30:///////;CO$100.00:///////;BU$116.25:///////;SB$100.50:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q:s, Q:d.
UTG2 folds, MP1 calls $1.00, MP2 folds, Hero raises to $4.5, 4 folds, MP1 calls $3.50.

Flop: ($10.50) J:d, J:s, T:h (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $6.00, MP1 calls $6.00.

Turn: ($22.50) A:s (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero checks.

River: ($22.50) 4:c (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: $22.50.


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

The only question on the turn is if you want to see the showdown, or not.
To determine the answer you need to know if you are ahead often enough, or not.

"J, T, some pp, or some Ax dont want to fold on the flop, and maybe some 98 KQ K9"
If this is his range, you most likely are. (if you bet 1/2 pot you need to see a SD and be ahead 25% of the time).

So i'd bet/fold the turn because by checking you have to fold to a riverbet although he might be bluffing.
And you might even get value from worse hands, but for the most part the bet prevents you from getting bluffed off your hand.