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[Closed] This one was really bugging me - what do YOU think?

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I'm 13fish.

PokerStars Game #29913535533: Tournament #175252901, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2009/06/29 19:26:47 WET [2009/06/29 14:26:47 ET]
Table '175252901 55' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: RyDawwg (9075 in chips)
Seat 2: fred5454 (17735 in chips)
Seat 3: gianca15 (6195 in chips)
Seat 4: andyqc (14755 in chips)
Seat 5: Lokartha (8698 in chips)
Seat 6: Tereza05 (14085 in chips)
Seat 7: 13fish (5337 in chips)
Seat 8: 10.TeK (4055 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 9: hayek (20874 in chips)
hayek: posts small blind 75
RyDawwg: posts big blind 150
HOLE CARDS
Dealt to 13fish [Js Jh]
fred5454 has timed out
fred5454: folds
fred5454 is sitting out
gianca15: folds
andyqc: folds
fred5454 has returned
Lokartha: raises 450 to 600
Tereza05: folds
13fish: calls 600
10.TeK: folds
hayek: folds
RyDawwg: folds
FLOP [3c 9h 4c]
Lokartha: bets 750
13fish: raises 1200 to 1950
Lokartha: raises 6148 to 8098 and is all-in
13fish: folds
Uncalled bet (6148) returned to Lokartha
Lokartha collected 5325 from pot
Lokartha: doesn't show hand
SUMMARY
Total pot 5325 | Rake 0
Board [3c 9h 4c]
Seat 1: RyDawwg (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: fred5454 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: gianca15 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: andyqc folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Lokartha collected (5325)
Seat 6: Tereza05 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: 13fish folded on the Flop
Seat 8: 10.TeK (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: hayek (small blind) folded before Flop


5 replies
ihufa
Joined: 18.03.2008


Without stats it's hard to say, but i bet 10 cents villain had A9s ;)


WildBeans
Joined: 23.09.2008

You gotta call there dude.

There's what? Around 11.5k in the pot and it's costing you under 3k to call?

Half your stack is out there and it's a decent flop when holding jacks.

Of course you're worried about a bigger pp or a set but, imo, you can't get away from this.

I'd estimate you're around 50/50* vs his range and odds of just under 4/1 are simply too good to turn down.

If you're beat, so be it but you gotta see this through.

M.

* This is based on a quick guestimate of his range, being something like:

4 hands crushing you (90/10 - being AA / KK / QQ / 999 [not counting the lower sets given his pre-flop raise) - MOST LIKELY HANDS

10 coin flips (50/50 - A Xc) - POSSIBLE HANDS

10 hands you're crushing (30/70 - 10s or less, excluding the lower sets, including AK/AQ/A10 non club) - LEAST LIKELY HANDS

So, although it's likely you're beat, there's sufficient reason to justify a call given the odds you're getting.

P.P.S This is only a quick guestimate - don't slate me if there's mistakes in the calculations ;)


tcs35
Joined: 31.01.2009

Originally posted by ihufa

_biggrin: