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[Closed] NL100 ATo squeeeze

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$19.00:///////;UTG2$98.50:693/18 /15 /1.4/29 /47 /67 /56 ;MP3$187.65:399/13 /10 /1.4/43 /29 /67 /54 ;[/tg]
0.5/1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is SB with A♠, T♥
2 folds, UTG2 raises to $3.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $3.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $19.00 (All-In), 2 folds, MP3 calls $15.50.

Flop: ($42.50) 7♠, 6♦, 2♣
Turn: ($42.50) 6♥
River: ($42.50) Q♠ (1 players)

Final Pot: $42.50

Any thoughts based on villain's stats?
Thanks


2 replies

Even though UTG is somewhat loose, his EP raise is bound to be tighter than the avg, and MP3 doesn't look like a loose caller at all, so I don't think your ATo gets enough of an edge against their ranges. Fold pre-flop imo

For quick squeeze decisions on the spot I like checking the re-raise charts. Against UTG+2 you don't 3 bet ATo even if he is raising 18%, so you can expect to be far behind his range. And even though theCC allows you to go a little looser due to +FE and +pot odds, it sill isn't enough in this case, I believe.


burek2000
Joined: 16.11.2007

Hey Tim64,

according to the chart you could push AJo with dead money against UTG2 15PFR player. I think this is very marginal or even -EV, also because MP3 is very tight player, from the stats you can see he doesn't cold call very often, so I would be a little more careful. You could check positional stats of the openraiser in case he isn't much tighter in EP, but does fold often to 3-bet, then squeeze with ATo might be profitable, but according to stats provided that's a fold.

Regards,
burek2000