Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($110)
BB ($105)
UTG ($54.58)
UTG+1 ($100)
CO ($108)
Hero ($100)
Dealt to Hero J♥ K♣
fold, UTG+1 checks, fold, Hero raises to $4, fold, BB raises to $13, fold, Hero calls $9
FLOP ($27.50) 7♠ 2♥ 8♦
BB bets $16, Hero calls $16
TURN ($59.50) 7♠ 2♥ 8♦ J♣
BB checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($59.50) 7♠ 2♥ 8♦ J♣ 3♦
BB checks, Hero bets $29, BB calls $29
Villain: 22/19/1.9/17/3bet:4.8/3bet vs. Steal from BB: 13 / 190 h
Villain is a Reg. MP posts the blind and i isolate. I think he can 3bet pretty light in that situation because i´m isolating light. MP almost never has a hand. I have a foldto3bet percentage of 70.
My plan was to call and float postflop.
On the turn i have SD value so i check behind.
After he checks the river i valuebet against 99 TT, maybe QJ JT. I think he would bet an overpair on the River.
What do u think?