$16 82s sb vs bb bubble

LgWz

Joined: 26.05.2007

Posts: 5,970

11.08.2009, 15:33 0

No Limit Holdem Tournament
$15+$1
4 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
CO (2590)
BTN (5650)
Hero (SB) (3275)
BB (1985)

Blinds: 100/200

Pre-flop: (300, 4 players) Hero is SB 8♦ 2♦
2 folds, Hero ???

Villain is a winning regular, he has to call 22% (33+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs) to make the push -EV. I'm quite sure he doesn't call that wide, but I just hate this because I'm 2nd in chips, but if he has a hand and calls me I become the shorty with like 6 bb, which won't be even close to anyone else. So is it worth it?

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4 replies

chenny8888

Joined: 03.10.2007

Posts: 17,729

12.08.2009, 07:08 0

Hi all,

Here it kinda depensd on how good BU and CO are. If they're both good then always take the push. That said, even if they're not great I would still push here just because it's too big an edge to pass up.

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viewer88

Joined: 19.04.2008

Posts: 3,417

12.08.2009, 09:24 0

His callrange will usualy be significantly tighter then the one you give, so this should be a great shove.

there is always a bigger fish

viewer88's poker blog

_Anonymous_

13.08.2009, 15:00 0

Sorry guys, but I disagree.

This hand is beaten by almost anything. How can you push it?

Pushes from are usually loose an I'd call with any Ax K4o+ Q5o+, JT, J8s plus pocket pairs (any), this gives a very big range to call.

Do you really think that this is +EV?

Regards

chenny8888

Joined: 03.10.2007

Posts: 17,729

15.08.2009, 20:43 0

Given that it's the bubble and our opponent supposedly likes money I don't think he is calling that wide, even if he has reads on us. Simply put he can find better situations.

chenny8888 / hav0c (my online nick) / "you are such a luckbox" (my live poker nick):

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[Closed] $16 82s sb vs bb bubble