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[Closed] NL100: A4s with FD on turn

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elladara85
Joined: 16.05.2006

Holdem Manager No-Limit Hold'em, $100.00 (HH Converter by Kreatief & Marple08)

CO 19/16, AF 3.9, foldtocbet 67%, 3bet 4.7,371hands
BTN 33/0 18 hands

FLOP
I think a cbet is fine here.There are a lot of cards i can play bet/fold on Turn. After CO calls the flop, i put him on a set (which he wants to slowplay because of the fish behind) or a medium pp or something like 56,76.

TURN
Now i hit my FD. I think the best solution is to bet. After his rr i think he has nutz or nothing. He can hardly put me on a 5, so i think is going to barrel the river again, and i get enough implied to call.

RIVER
I only have a bluffcatcher. He was pretty aggressive, but without history i dont think i can call this.

What do you think ?

CO ($143.84)
BTN ($90.00)
SB ($52.95)
BB ($110.20)
MP2 ($100.00)
MP3 ($128.75) ________ (Hero)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 4♦, A♦
1 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, CO calls $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, 2 folds,

Flop: 4♥, 6♠, 2♦ ( $12 )
Hero bets $8.00, CO calls $8.00, 1 folds,

Turn: 3♦ ( $28 )
Hero bets $18.00, CO raises to $45.00, Hero calls $27.00,

River: A♣ ( $118 )
Hero checks, CO bets $87.34, 1 folds,


3 replies
osmium
Joined: 06.10.2007

Well on the turn you roughly need 30% equity w/o implieds for the call and against a set or a 5 you just have ~20% but if you count implieds the call is fine. I dont believe that a NL 100 player will bluffraise that turn as standard so the river is a fold.

One could argue if a push all in is fine on the turn, but this would only work out if he does bluff raise which I wont count on.


TribunCaesar
Joined: 29.04.2007

Due to the given odds on the turn: nh!
He is not gonna bluff on the turn, he is gonna have a set or straight imo, therefore you can safely fold.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar


elladara85
Joined: 16.05.2006

he showed Th7h :evil: