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[Closed] top set on 4straight board

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BTN: $129.90
SB: $200.00
Hero (BB): $200.00
CO: $222.10

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BB with 8 :diamond: 8 :spade:
1 fold, BTN calls $2, SB calls $1, Hero raises to $12, BTN calls $10, 1 fold

Flop: ($26.00) 4 :heart: 8 :heart: 6 :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $16, BTN calls $16

Turn: ($58.00) 7 :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $20, Hero calls $20

River: ($98.00) Q :spade: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $24, Hero calls $24 ???

should I fold river? villain is likely to be loose-passive over small sample.

comments on all streets welcome.


2 replies
Becks777
Joined: 04.03.2006

Im betting 23 $ on this flop. If these midstack fish have something they´re calling no matter how big u bet. His range is so wide i like to bet the turn myself, for protecion against fds and value against pairs or 2 pairs.
As played im never folding to that river betsize.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Originally posted by Becks777
Im betting 23 $ on this flop. If these midstack fish have something they´re calling no matter how big u bet. His range is so wide i like to bet the turn myself, for protecion against fds and value against pairs or 2 pairs.
As played im never folding to that river betsize.

+1

I'd bet bigger at the flop, too. And then at the turn i bet big and call a shove obv.

Even if he has a very tight range:
Board: 8h 4h 6s 7c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.600% 52.97% 03.63% 606 41.50 { 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s }
Hand 1: 43.400% 39.77% 03.63% 455 41.50 { 88 }

Your equity is very good.
Of course he'll have more combinations of 5x in his range, but at the same time he has a lot of FDs, overpairs and even lower sets in it against which you get the money in great.