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[Closed] Nl200 - Easy Fold?

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Strongsl
Joined: 19.01.2007

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Absolute
Hero ($198)
BB ($928)
UTG ($54)
UTG+1 ($138)
UTG+2 ($137)
MP1 ($352)
CO ($220)
BTN ($384)

Dealt to Hero K♦ A♦

fold, fold, fold, MP1 raises to $4, CO calls $4, fold, Hero raises to $22, fold, fold, CO calls $18

FLOP ($50) J♣ A♠ T♣

Hero bets $25, CO raises to $125, Hero folds

vILLAIN 40/8/ 1.3 af. WSD 30/ W$SD 50

HE is a fish. hardly folds TPGK for stack. only note i had.


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd ship it at the flop.
You need 37% equity and vs his absolute valuerange:
Board: As Jc Tc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.866% 58.56% 08.31% 26089 3700.00 { AA, JJ-TT, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }
Hand 1: 33.134% 24.83% 08.31% 11061 3700.00 { AdKd }

You still have 33%.
And there's not one single small Ax, FD or just randomly overplayed hand in it.