Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
SB ($72.35)
BB ($200)
UTG ($208)
UTG+1 ($114)
UTG+2 ($63)
MP1 ($209)
Hero ($43.95)
BTN ($115)
Dealt to Hero 6♥ 6♦
fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $6, BTN calls $6, fold, fold
FLOP ($15) 7♠ 3♠ Q♦
Hero bets $8, BTN calls $8
TURN ($31) 7♠ 3♠ Q♦ 2♣
Hero checks, BTN checks
RIVER ($31) 7♠ 3♠ Q♦ 2♣ A♥
villain is 18/6, Call open 12%, 27% wts, 50% F 2 cb (10 cases only), 250 hands.
Barrel the A on the River? He'll be calling aces and maybe Qs, but 88-JJ, FDs, 7s (if he called those on the flop) will be folding.
The problem is my stack is pot-size, and I'm not sure I can get him to fold often enough to go Ai here, but surely it should be enough to bet $12-$14, what do you think?