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[Closed] DoN 5 Bubble AA

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Unjb8807
Joined: 24.05.2009

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 5.2 Tournament, 125/250 Blinds 25 Ante (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Button (t200)
SB (t6320)
BB (t5500)
UTG (t715)
MP (t1660)
Hero (CO) (t605)

Hero's M: 1.15

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A
3 folds, Button calls t175 (All-In), SB calls t125, BB checks

Flop: (t825) 7, K, 7 (3 players, 1 all-in)
SB checks, BB checks

Turn: (t825) 8 (3 players, 1 all-in)
SB checks, BB checks

River: (t825) 2 (3 players, 1 all-in)
SB checks, BB checks

Total pot: t825


1 reply
Jaroz007
Joined: 10.06.2007

I am folding this since the BU is <1BB short, and will almost always be called by both blinds. Then you have a chance of 66% of getting ITM. In addition, if the BU wins UTG will still blind out before us, so this should give us an extra 10-15% equity on the bubble, summary a total of 75-80% ITM equity.
When you push, the BU will fold usually, and you get called by both blinds, and then AA has 73% against any2 from the SB and BB. So its a fold considering the stacksizes and the blinds not going up in the next hands.