Full Tilt Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
CO: $25.00
BTN: $47.70
SB: $37.55
BB: $26.92
UTG: $23.30
UTG+1: $10.31
Hero (MP1): $48.21
MP2: $55.13
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP1 with A 
Q 
UTG calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.25, 5 folds, UTG calls $1
Flop: ($2.85) A 9 
8 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.25, UTG raises to $10, Hero folds
Villain is 26/0 on 65 hands. 1 AF.
Against a regular 16/12 or 18/14 opponent I would probably just shove this flop because he is likely to have Flush Draw, KJs KQs, JTs etc and would have raised all the holecards that currently beat me preflop (and not limp/called 98 or A9 etc). However this guy is 26/0 so far and hasn't raised preflop once. I thus conclude his range includes more Sets than a standard players one and even AK and A9. I think I have to let this one go.
Not sure I'd actually be able to even shove this hand against an aggressive reg though despite what I think is a good hand range evaluation of his flop check/raise. Sometimes I just let go what feel like high variance spots like this.
anyway, do you guys agree on my analysis of this spot?
