[Closed] 200NL - 99 on 6533ss vs 2nd barrel MW pot

I think I like to fold on the flop.
This is what the opponents equity will look like on the a distribution of turns:

So on 70% of turns he will have more than 50% which means we have less than 50%.
(all computed against a range of { 66+, 44-33, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, KhQh, KhJh, QhJh })
So we will end up with a lot of trouble and sometimes we might even be flding the best hand.

As played the call is so close that folding and calling have almost the same EV, therefore it's up to you ;).
I think a call is probably ok because if the river is a heart and he checks to us we can make him fold a lot of better hands by firing big.

The graph is nice. I have used it in PLO but not HOLDEM. LIKE It tho.

But folding the flop is too weak I think. Given the fact we are in position and he could be cbetting smaller pairs like 55, 77, 88 and all different draws my EQ on the flop is too good to fold. I think.

Agree i like calling flop. WE have pos, he could fire overs, draws
but im folding Turn. Not sure btw that we must fire heart river, so complicated to know exactly if its profitable imo.

I think we should definitely fire heart river. I doubt he checks a with a flush because we can have so many marginal sd hands that we're checking back way too much. So if he checks, I think we can probably just ship it in and he foldss AA