Hi everyone
Now, as far as I understand, when we are the chipleader on the bubble in a 9 man SNG, we should be looking to take advantage of this. Let me create a hypothetical situation:
CO: 1000
Hero: 4500
SB: 4000
BB: 4000
Blinds: 200/400
Now, if the cutoff folds to us, we should be shoving ATC in principle. However there is a phenomenon on the lower stakes, which is that the villains do not have a clue about ICM, and therefore call us much wider than they are supposed to (Nash is telling me 88+).
If we knew in advance that they would be calling us with, say, ATo, should we change our range? Because although it is a bad call by them, if they make it and win, we are likely to lose on the bubble. However, if we have to change our range does this mean we can't own the bubble so much? Is there any way to take advantage of the bad player's mistake?
Thanks for any feedback!