[Closed] AA 3bet pot oop

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Last Post by Bierbaer 16 years ago

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Becks777

Joined: 04.03.2006

Posts: 641

20.05.2010, 15:32 0

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
Hero ($100)
BB ($100)
UTG ($93.60)
CO ($152)
BTN ($103)

Dealt to Hero A♠ A♦

fold, fold, BTN raises to $3, Hero raises to $11, fold, BTN calls $8

FLOP ($23) K♠ 4♣ 8♦

Hero bets $13, BTN calls $13

TURN ($49) K♠ 4♣ 8♦ 9♣

Hero bets $25, BTN calls $25

RIVER ($99) K♠ 4♣ 8♦ 9♣ K♦

Hero checks, BTN bets $54 (AI), Hero folds

BTN wins $96

Villain: 30/24/3.1/32/fold to 3bet 75%(24)/4bet 13 %(24)/ 660 h

Villain just sat down at the Table. I had no History with him. My plan was to barrel 3 times. Rivercard is kinda ugly.
He tanked a bit on the Turn and then snapped shipped all in on the River.
I don´t see to many Kx hands in his range due to his high foldto3bet percentage. KQ maybe AK. But would he shove TT-QQ?
Wouldn´t make much sense.

2 replies

HannesNL

Joined: 19.11.2008

Posts: 648

20.05.2010, 18:29 0

Well, I see more in his Kx range than just AK, KQ.

his BTN openingsrange must be like 50-60%? His fold to 3bet on btn vs blinds should be a little les than 75%, more like 65% or sth bcz of obvious reasons.

So there should be enough Kx in his range. But ofc. a lot of more crap as well.

Well to be honest I think this is so freakin close it doesn't really matter if you call/fold. 30% of the times you have to be correct to make a +ev call, and I think he might bluff a little more frequent than that accoarding stats. But it doesnt really make sense to bluff in this spot. So im not sure.

Bierbaer

Joined: 27.05.2005

Posts: 3,322

22.05.2010, 20:57 0

As Hannes said it's really very close.
I also think he has quite a lot Kx in his range, he could call pretty loose IP to find out how we're playing.
And I also agree that we can't expect an unknown to turn some kind of pocket pair into a bluff, not even sure if i would like it since we have so many Kx in our range.
So I think I'm a nit and fold, he doesn't need to have many bluffs but I just can't imagine he doublefloats too often on this board against us (assuming we're mostly unknown to him).

Variance giveth and variance taketh away.

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