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[Closed] NL100SH: JTs river valuebet or not

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Hold'em No-Limit, $100.00 (HHConverter by Kreatief)
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SB ($259.25)
BB ($169.85)
MP2 ($159.93)
MP3 ($105.45)
Hero ($108.20)
BTN ($47.03)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T♥ J♥
MP2 raises to $3.50, 1 folds, Hero calls $3.50, 1 folds, SB calls $3.00, 1 folds,

Flop: J♣, 3♥, 9♠ ( $11.5, 3 players )
SB checks, MP2 bets $7.00, Hero calls $7.00, SB calls $7.00,

Turn: 3♠ ( $32.5, 3 players )
SB checks, MP2 checks, Hero checks,

River: 2♣ ( $32.5, 3 players )
SB checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $19.00, SB calls $19.00, 1 folds,

MP2 is 22/18/1,5
SB is 27/16/2,2

Main question is about my riverbet. Is a valuebet here profitable against these guys? I thought I can take some value from TT, or 9x. I thought that besides maybe QJ, opponents cant have anything better then my hand considering how it was played.


2 replies
Becks777
Joined: 04.03.2006

I´d bet the Turn vs. QT T8 or bd draws from SB. I think UTG often is giving up in this spot plus don´t wanna see A K Q River. As played SB surely kann have KJ AJ QJ. I think ur rarely getting called by worse on the river. Maybe TT but more often AJ KJ QJ.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I raise the flop.
The PFR cbets 3way and his range was strong to begin with (he raised UTG). So imo by calling we will be dominated a lot, in fact if he has a valuehand we're always dominated - and SB is even acting behind us.
If the PFR is bluffing he won't continue on the turn so calling actually has no advantage over raising at all.
Raising on the other hand makes him fold a lot of better hands (basically everything but sets).
I think both players will fold any 1pair hand (also QQ+) because the raise looks so strong.

Notice that compared to UTGs range we don't really have SD-value since we're behind against any better hand.
So by calling the flop we're purely bluffcatching.


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